
What happened
Coefficient Giving, launched by Dustin Moskovitz and Cari Tuna, is on track to give away $2 billion this year. The organization helped start and funds Redwood Research, which received a $36 million grant last November and was one of two outfits OpenAI brought in to analyze the July Hugging Face breach.
Why it matters
If Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs happen this year as planned, they could generate an estimated $370 billion in new philanthropic assets. Coefficient and the OpenAI Foundation are expected to be the two main vehicles, with spending potentially reaching about $40 billion annually—equivalent to four or five Gates Foundations a year.
What to watch
Coefficient’s future scale hinges on whether planned Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs generate the estimated $370 billion in new philanthropic assets, and how much of that flows through its vehicle versus the OpenAI Foundation. Watch for the IPO timing, expected this year.
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Coefficient Giving, rooted in effective altruism, has long funded AI safety research, a focus that now seems prescient. The July Hugging Face breach, which involved AI agents, underscored the relevance of such work. Berger notes that philanthropy is uniquely suited to build AI guardrails because governments move slowly and companies shouldn't regulate themselves.
The potential IPOs of Anthropic and OpenAI represent a landmark shift, with Nan Ransohoff of Stripe estimating $370 billion in new philanthropic assets. This "third wave" would dwarf current giving, potentially adding $40 billion annually to US philanthropy. Coefficient, already a major funder in global health and animal welfare, is positioned to be a central actor alongside the OpenAI Foundation.
Despite facing criticism from some in the industry who downplay AI risks, Coefficient remains committed to its philosophical approach. Berger defends unconventional funding areas like shrimp welfare, arguing that philanthropy should support causes with strong ethical arguments that lack majority support. The organization's growth—spending over twice as much this year as last—reflects both its success and the expanding scale of this new philanthropic landscape.
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