Analysis suggests Dario Amodei of Anthropic may not actually believe in superintelligence despite public perception

Many people's relationship with Anthropic is based on the false assumption that CEO Dario Amodei believes in superintelligence and its potential for world-changing capabilities

The author defines 'believing in superintelligence' as accepting that intelligence beyond human levels would provide significant advantages for steering the world and is practically achievable

Evidence tracing back to at least 2013 suggests Amodei's actual views may differ from popular perception, including a conversation where he served as science advisor alongside Jacob Steinhardt

The post acknowledges weak writing quality but claims the Bayesian evidence supporting the claim is actually quite strong

The historical 2013 conversation referenced is presented as interesting context separate from the main argument about Amodei's true beliefs