
Gas turbine prices have risen roughly 300% over three years as AI hyperscalers compete for power infrastructure, and GE Vernova's order book is now sold out through 2029, extending into 2031. The company reported $18.30 billion(約2.9兆円) in Q1 2026 orders (up 71% organically) and raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $44.5 to $45.5 billion(約7.3兆円), backed by validated demand from Microsoft, OpenAI, and other major cloud providers. Although the stock has already doubled over one year and trades at 40x forward earnings, analysts remain bullish, citing a multi-year sold-out backlog and demonstrated pricing power—though execution risk and declining demand visibility past 2031 remain concerns.
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Gas turbine pricing has risen roughly 300% over the last three years, with GE Vernova's order book sold out through 2029 and extending to 2031. In Q1 2026, the company reported $9.30 billion(約1.5兆円) in revenue (up 15.8% year over year) and $18.30 billion(約2.9兆円) in orders (up 71% organically), with management raising 2026 guidance to $44.5 to $45.5 billion(約7.3兆円) in revenue.
Why it matters
Power generation has become the bottleneck in AI infrastructure buildout. Hyperscalers (large cloud providers) including Microsoft, OpenAI, and others are buying GE Vernova turbines in fleets—Microsoft alone purchased seven turbines for a 2.7 gigawatt Texas data center project. This demonstrates validated demand from every major AI buyer, and natural gas remains the cheapest deployable option for AI campuses awaiting grid connection.
What to watch
GE Vernova shares trade at $1,066.01 as of June 24, 2026, with a market cap near $303 billion(約48兆円) and analyst sentiment skewed positive (6 Strong Buy, 23 Buy, 7 Hold ratings). The stock is up 58.65% year to date and 107.6% over one year. The key risk is whether execution through 2029 can support a valuation at 40x forward earnings, and whether demand visibility past 2031 remains solid as small modular reactors come online.
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