
What happened
The Trump administration's Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services launched WISeR (Wasteful and Inappropriate Service Reduction Model) in six states this year, using machine learning and human clinical review to reduce unnecessary procedures in original Medicare through December 2031. The pilot targets services including skin and tissue substitutes, electrical nerve stimulator implants, and knee arthroscopy for knee osteoarthritis.
Why it matters
A 2025 American Medical Association survey found 61 percent of doctors worry AI will worsen denials of necessary treatments. Additionally, vendors hired to conduct AI-driven prior authorization earn a share of what CMS calls "averted expenditures"—creating financial incentive to reject care requests. An HHS Inspector General memo from 2022 showed more than one in 10 denials in Medicare Advantage plans were inappropriate despite patients meeting coverage rules.
What to watch
Early reports from the first few months of WISeR in all six pilot states show delays in care and some denials, according to investigations cited by health policy advocates. Meanwhile, CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz has warned private insurers to reduce prior authorization burden or face federal regulation, and industry data shows prior authorization requests declined 11 percent between June 2025 and April 2026—though the denial rate remains unknown.
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Prior authorization—the process by which patients must seek pre-approval from insurers before receiving certain medical treatments—has long been a source of friction in American healthcare. Physicians and patients report significant delays in care, and a Commonwealth Fund survey found roughly one in five working-age Americans with private insurance experienced a denial in 2025, with 41 percent saying it delayed their care and more than a quarter reporting their health worsened as a result. The Biden administration attempted reform in 2024, requiring insurers to make urgent decisions within 72 hours and non-urgent ones within seven calendar days, rules that went into effect January 1, 2025. Private insurers have pledged to standardize electronic requests by 2027 and reduce prior authorization volume for common procedures like colonoscopies and cataract surgeries by 2026.
The Trump administration's WISeR pilot represents a new approach: rather than lightening the prior authorization burden, it extends AI-driven authorization into original Medicare—where prior authorization has been rare—while simultaneously pressuring private insurers to ease their own processes. CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz has told insurance executives to streamline the process or face federal regulation. Yet the financial structure of WISeR creates a potential misalignment: vendors are compensated based on "averted expenditures," meaning they profit when claims are rejected. This echoes a longstanding concern in American healthcare about incentives to deny necessary care. Early reports from the pilot's first months indicate delays and some denials in all six participating states, suggesting the system may not be delivering the promised speed or appropriateness.
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