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AI Regulation & PolicyFortune AIPublished: Jul 9, 2026, 19:00 JST

Microsoft's Brad Smith: U.S. AI rules lack transparency, clarity

Microsoft's Brad Smith: U.S. AI rules lack transparency, clarity

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Microsoft President Brad Smith said the Trump administration is regulating AI without transparent or complete rules, making it difficult for businesses to plan. He spoke after the Commerce Department forced Anthropic to pull its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models worldwide on cybersecurity grounds, and the administration pressed OpenAI to delay its GPT-5.6 launch—both restrictions have since eased.

  2. Why it matters

    Smith acknowledged the government was right to act on genuine security concerns, but noted it lacks proper regulatory tools and is instead reaching for export controls designed for traditional trade goods, not AI delivered over an API. This patchwork approach—mixing voluntary review with sudden mandatory restrictions—leaves companies and foreign governments uncertain about U.S. AI policy, potentially driving other nations to develop sovereign AI systems.

  3. What to watch

    The government has not disclosed the criteria for which companies count as "trusted partners" or which models will face vetting in the future. Smith warned that without certainty of supply and reliable access, foreign buyers will turn elsewhere—creating pressure on Washington and U.S. tech firms to prove their systems are dependable.

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Context & Analysis

The U.S. government's recent use of export controls to restrict access to advanced AI models has exposed a regulatory gap. The Commerce Department and White House moved to block or delay releases by Anthropic and OpenAI on security grounds, yet neither the restrictions nor the process behind them followed a formal legal framework. A June executive order set up a voluntary pre-release review process, but when Anthropic declined to cooperate voluntarily, officials reached for export controls—a blunt instrument never designed to govern API-delivered software. The fact that OpenAI and Anthropic faced two different processes within weeks, with no published standards for either and no disclosed criteria for "trusted partners," has left both companies and foreign governments guessing at what the policy actually is.

Smith's point resonates beyond Microsoft: if the U.S. government cannot articulate clear, stable, and legally grounded rules for frontier AI, American tech firms lose credibility abroad. Europe, Canada, and other nations are now treating the Anthropic shutdown as proof that relying on American AI infrastructure is risky—not because the government necessarily intends to cut them off, but because the rules themselves are opaque and the tools chosen (export controls) can be weaponized without warning. Smith suggests the real challenge is not heavier-handed regulation, but smarter regulation: formal legislation that gives the government the legitimate authority it needs while giving companies the certainty they need to invest and operate globally. Without that, sovereigty-focused AI development in Europe and elsewhere may accelerate, potentially fragmenting the AI market and undermining U.S. technology leadership.

FAQ
What models did the U.S. government restrict recently?
The Commerce Department forced Anthropic to pull its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models from the market worldwide citing cybersecurity risk. The administration also pressed OpenAI to hold back its GPT-5.6 model family from public release. Both restrictions have since eased—Fable 5 came back online earlier this month, and OpenAI announced GPT-5.6 will launch publicly on Thursday.
What regulatory tool is the government using, and is it appropriate?
The government is using export-control law, a tool designed for traditional trade goods, not widely accessible AI models delivered over an API. Smith said the government only had this one regulatory tool available when it found a cybersecurity risk, but experts have noted export controls were never designed for this use case and may not have survived a legal challenge.
How are other countries reacting?
Foreign governments say the Anthropic episode shows they are overexposed to U.S. infrastructure. European politicians, including a French lawmaker who likened the shutdown to a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney have called the move a lesson in over-reliance on American providers, spurring calls for sovereign AI—government-controlled models and infrastructure.

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