
What happened
The article examines how AI companies like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic are trying to build both the AI models (the content) and the consumer-facing apps and developer APIs that deliver them to users. This mirrors historical patterns in media, banking, and energy, where companies have repeatedly tried to own both content and distribution.
Why it matters
History suggests this vertical integration often fails. Verizon and AT&T retreated from media after failed Hollywood investments; Comcast just announced it is spinning off NBC and Sky News to focus on broadband. The pattern indicates that distribution networks and creative content typically work better as separate businesses, raising questions about whether AI companies' dual strategy will succeed or whether the industry will eventually split into content-only and distribution-only players.
What to watch
Three scenarios could unfold. ChatGPT's billion monthly users could anchor one large integrated player; an existing software company like Salesforce or Microsoft could become a neutral distribution highway for any AI model; or new AI-native hardware from Sam Altman and Jony Ive could create a distribution channel that makes a separate 'phone company' unnecessary.
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