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Sign up free →Nvidia launched its RTX Spark AI PC superchip targeting Windows on Arm in late May and early June 2026, just as Qualcomm introduced its Dragonfly AI data-center brand. The contrast between Nvidia's detailed PC roadmap and Qualcomm's still-to-be-explained Dragonfly offering has heightened investor scrutiny.
Qualcomm's diversification narrative projects $48.8 billion revenue and $11.0 billion earnings by 2029, requiring 3.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.1 billion earnings increase from $9.9 billion today. Some lower-ranked analysts project nearly flat revenue near US$42.5 billion and earnings of about US$10.2 billion by 2028.
The immediate risk is that intensified competition in PCs and data centers slows Qualcomm's ability to convert its AI roadmap into meaningful, high-margin revenue. Qualcomm is scheduled to provide more details on Dragonfly on June 24.
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