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Qualcomm targets $40B revenue by 2029, betting on AI chip recovery

Yahoo Finance AI17h ago5 min read
Qualcomm targets $40B revenue by 2029, betting on AI chip recovery

Key takeaway

Qualcomm announced a major strategic shift on June 24, raising its 2029 revenue target to $40 billion(約6.4兆円) and committing to more than $15 billion(約2.4兆円) in AI infrastructure revenue from data centers by that date. The company, which has lagged behind Nvidia and Broadcom due to late entry into the AI chip market, believes it can capitalize on demand from hyperscalers through custom silicon partnerships and AI inference accelerators. At its current valuation, the stock does not yet reflect these growth prospects, presenting a potential opportunity for investors willing to wait for results starting in 2027.

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3 Key Points

  • What happened

    Qualcomm raised its 2029 revenue guidance to $40 billion(約6.4兆円) and said it aims for more than $15 billion(約2.4兆円) in AI infrastructure revenue from data centers by fiscal 2029. The company also announced two partnerships with hyperscalers (large cloud providers) for custom silicon, though it has not named which ones.

  • Why it matters

    Qualcomm has underperformed rivals Nvidia and Broadcom for years due to its late entry into AI chips and dependence on a saturated smartphone market. The new guidance signals a turning point—management expects material improvements in 2027 and beyond as its AI initiatives scale, potentially ending a period of declining revenue.

  • What to watch

    The stock trades at a 21.2 price-to-earnings ratio and has a price/earnings-to-growth ratio below 1, suggesting the valuation does not yet reflect the company's AI growth prospects. Management expects a 7.4% year-over-year revenue decline in fiscal 2026 Q3, so meaningful growth may take time to materialize.

FAQ

When does Qualcomm expect material revenue growth from AI?
Management said material fundamental improvements will take shape in 2027 and beyond. For the current quarter (fiscal 2026 Q3), the company is projecting a 7.4% year-over-year revenue decline.
How much of Qualcomm's 2029 revenue target is expected to come from AI?
The company aims for more than $15 billion(約2.4兆円) in AI infrastructure revenue from data centers by fiscal 2029, out of its $40 billion(約6.4兆円) total revenue guidance for that year.
Which hyperscalers has Qualcomm partnered with for custom chips?
Qualcomm has announced two partnerships to make custom silicon for leading hyperscalers but has not named which ones they are.

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