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AI Business & IndustryCrunchbase News AIPublished: Sep 11, 2026, 22:00 JST2 min read

Counter-positioning, network economies: the only AI moats that pay

Counter-positioning, network economies: the only AI moats that pay

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    SC Moatti of Mighty Capital analyzed 576 AI B2B companies that raised $50 million-plus since 2025 and found counter-positioning and network economies are the only two moats that work.

  2. Why it matters

    Cornered resources like proprietary data appear in 44% of companies but have the worst multiple at 2.6x, while counter-positioning appears in only 5% yet commands 5.3x—the highest of any power.

  3. What to watch

    Whether a well-resourced incumbent could copy a startup's model at a cost higher than the startup's own build cost is the test; 88% of scale-economy capital belongs to OpenAI and Anthropic, so that path is largely closed.

WHO IT HITSFounders pitching VCs and investors screening AI deals will need to show a structural moat—counter-positioning or network economies—rather than citing AI itself, since investors now price proprietary data at the lowest multiple in the dataset.

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Context & Analysis

SC Moatti's analysis draws on Crunchbase data covering 576 AI B2B companies that raised $50 million-plus rounds since the start of 2025, cross-referenced with Hamilton Helmer's 7 Powers framework and insights from Products that Count's 600,000-plus product leader community. The starting observation is that 97% of products nominated for this year's Products That Count Product Awards are deeply integrated with AI—evidence, in Moatti's view, that AI itself has stopped functioning as a differentiator.

The data separates the powers that pay from those that don't. Counter-positioning shows up in only 5% of companies but commands a median enterprise value of 5.3x per dollar raised. Network economies also appear in just 5% yet command a 4.2x multiple. By contrast, cornered resources like proprietary data and unique IP are far more common at 44% but carry the worst multiple at 2.6x. Switching costs are the most crowded power at 37% with a 4x multiple, but the capital required to reach that stickiness is roughly 10x higher than network economies. Scale economies, excluding OpenAI and Anthropic, see their median multiple collapse from 6.1x to 3.2x, with 88% of the category's capital belonging to those two companies.

The stakes for founders come down to a single diagnostic question Moatti poses: what about your business would survive a competitor who starts today with more capital and a better model? If the answer is a structural feature of the business model or network architecture rather than model quality or data volume, the company is likely to command the 4x to 5x multiples the data associates with these two powers.

FAQ
What are the two moats that actually work in the AI era?
Counter-positioning (building a model incumbents can't copy without hurting their own economics) and network economies (a product that gets more valuable as more users join). Both appear in only 5% of the dataset.
Why aren't proprietary data moats working anymore?
Cornered resources like proprietary data and unique IP appear in 44% of companies but have the worst multiple at 2.6x, because investors have seen too many proprietary datasets eroded by foundation models and synthetic data.
Why is scale economies not a viable path for most AI startups?
Excluding OpenAI and Anthropic, the median multiple for scale economies collapses from 6.1x to 3.2x, and 88% of the category's capital belongs to those two companies.
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