
What happened
Jeffery Kessler, Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security, told Congress on Tuesday that "very few" of Nvidia's H200 AI chips have been shipped to China and Hong Kong, describing it as "a very small quantity of chips." Licenses for H200 exports were issued earlier this year after President Donald Trump said in December that the U.S. would approve China sales in exchange for a 25% cut.
Why it matters
H200 shipments to China represent a restart after Nvidia excluded Chinese AI chip revenue from its forecasts for over a year; CEO Jensen Huang told investors in May to "expect nothing" from Chinese sales. Even in small volumes, resumption signals potential relief for Nvidia's largest export market in a region where Chinese firms lack superior domestic alternatives for AI training.
What to watch
The U.S. government assesses H200 license applications case-by-case, with applicants needing to meet national security requirements and submit to inspections; Kessler noted that "there are cases where we deny the license applications we receive." It remains unclear whether China will ultimately approve importing large quantities of the chips.
Summaries like this, in your inbox every morning.
Nvidia's long struggle to access the Chinese AI market has centered on U.S. export restrictions tied to national security concerns and the broader U.S.–China technology competition. For over a year, the company excluded any Chinese revenue from its financial guidance, and CEO Jensen Huang explicitly signaled to investors in May that they should anticipate no material Chinese sales. The Trump administration's December announcement that it would permit H200 exports in exchange for a 25% revenue cut opened a narrow door, and the issuance of licenses earlier in 2025 suggested movement toward resumption. However, Kessler's statement on Tuesday that only "very few" shipments have occurred reflects the continuing tension: while some trade flow has restarted, it remains tightly constrained by case-by-case licensing requirements, national security vetting, and on-site compliance inspections. The H200 itself is an older chip—the Hopper generation—compared to the faster, more powerful Blackwell chips American companies are currently deploying, which limits its strategic value to the U.S. but underscores that any Nvidia shipment to China is politically sensitive.
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