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SCREEN and Lasertec both forecast 20%+ sales gains after down year

SCREEN and Lasertec both forecast 20%+ sales gains after down year

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    SCREEN Holdings and Lasertec, two Japanese makers of AI and semiconductor equipment, both forecast revenue growth of more than 20% for the current fiscal year after posting lower revenue and profit for the latest period.

  2. Why it matters

    Both companies reported declines for the 2026 fiscal year — SCREEN's revenue at 6057億円 and Lasertec's at 2305億円 — but now project a rebound, yet their recovery paths differ: SCREEN's margin is set to rise to 21.1% while Lasertec's falls to 43.1%.

  3. What to watch

    SCREEN's full-year plan hinges on stronger second-half demand for advanced logic, foundry and memory semiconductors, and it raised its revenue forecast from 7250億円 to 7430億円; watch whether that demand materializes, since first-quarter revenue fell 10.3%.

WHO IT HITSEnterprise investors and analysts tracking AI semiconductor supply chains face two contrasting recovery stories from SCREEN and Lasertec. Equipment procurement teams at chipmakers will watch whether demand for cleaning and photomask inspection tools picks up in the second half.

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Context & Analysis

SCREEN Holdings makes equipment that cleans microscopic contamination from wafer surfaces, while Lasertec makes inspection tools that detect tiny defects in photomasks, the master templates used to transfer circuit patterns onto wafers. Both are seen as AI and semiconductor-related stocks, and in a ranking of 42 Japanese companies tied to AI and semiconductors, Lasertec placed 15th and SCREEN 17th based on consensus profit growth forecasts over three years.

Their latest results both showed lower revenue and profit, but the current fiscal year tells a different story. SCREEN reported revenue of 6057億円 and operating profit of 1225億円 for the year ended March 2026, an operating margin of 20.2%. Lasertec reported revenue of 2305億円 and operating profit of 1053億円 for the year ended June 2026, a margin of 45.7%. Now both forecast revenue growth above 20%, yet the shape of recovery diverges: SCREEN expects its margin to improve to 21.1%, while Lasertec expects its to decline to 43.1% as profit growth lags revenue growth.

SCREEN's first quarter was still weak, with revenue down 10.3% year on year and operating profit down 41.1%, but the company raised its full-year revenue forecast from 7250億円 to 7430億円 and its operating profit forecast from 1500億円 to 1565億円. It attributes the second-half pickup to advanced logic, foundry and memory customers. Whether that demand appears on schedule is likely the key test for both companies' plans.

FAQ
What did SCREEN and Lasertec forecast for the current fiscal year?
SCREEN projects revenue of 7430億円 and operating profit of 1565億円, while Lasertec expects revenue of 2900億円 and operating profit of 1250億円. Both represent revenue growth of more than 20%.
Why are SCREEN and Lasertec recovering differently?
SCREEN plans to grow profit faster than revenue, improving its operating margin to 21.1%, while Lasertec keeps a high margin but expects profit growth to trail revenue, lowering its margin to 43.1%.
What drove SCREEN to raise its full-year outlook?
SCREEN raised its revenue forecast from 7250億円 to 7430億円 and operating profit from 1500億円 to 1565億円, citing expected second-half sales growth from advanced logic, foundry and memory semiconductor customers.
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