AI Stocks & Markets
Jun 29, 2026

The Gist
Bank of America is cautioning that while AI spending is driving stock gains—with Nvidia rising on strong chip demand and Palantir surging after partnering with Nvidia on secure AI for U.S. agencies—this boom may be masking underlying market vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, investors are positioning Micron as the next major AI chip winner, and Broadcom is on track to overtake SpaceX by market capitalization this year. The AI rally remains robust but comes with warnings from major financial institutions about sustainability beneath the surface.
Today's Stories
- 1
Bank of America warns AI spending boom masks deeper market risks
Bank of America said in a June 26 research note that while AI spending has driven unusually strong profit expectations, the bank now sees growing risks to that outlook. The firm cited lower-cost AI models and rising competition as pressures on pricing power, noting that businesses are increasingly evaluating cheaper open-source AI offerings. U.S. hyperscalers (large cloud-computing providers) have trailed the broader market by nearly 15% since January, which may reflect investor concerns about future returns on heavy AI-related spending. If cheaper alternatives and multiple competing tools reduce dependence on premium providers, companies could face margin pressure as the AI market becomes more competitive.
Bank of America flagged semiconductor, capital goods, and mining as among the most stretched areas of the market due to their ties to the AI buildout, while identifying defensive sectors such as consumer staples as potentially offering relative stability during any AI-driven market pullback.
- 2
Nvidia Stock Rises Amid Signs of Strong AI Chip Demand
Nvidia Stock Rises Amid Signs of Strong AI Chip Demand
- 3
Palantir, NVIDIA Partner to Bring Secure AI to U.S. Agencies
Palantir and NVIDIA announced a partnership to deploy NVIDIA Nemotron open models in secure, isolated environments for U.S. government agencies. The collaboration aims to enable agencies to run advanced AI systems while maintaining strict security and data control requirements. U.S. government agencies face a critical challenge—they need cutting-edge AI capabilities but cannot rely on public cloud services or closed commercial systems due to classified data and national security concerns. This partnership offers agencies a path to adopt open-source AI models in fully controlled, on-premise or isolated infrastructure, potentially expanding AI adoption across federal operations while protecting sensitive information.
The deployment targets U.S. agencies specifically, reflecting the security-first regulatory environment in government procurement. This model may signal how enterprises and institutions with strict data sovereignty requirements can adopt advanced AI without sacrificing security or control.
- 4
Broadcom poised to overtake SpaceX by market cap this year
An analyst argues that Broadcom, the semiconductor company, is on track to surpass SpaceX in market capitalization by the end of the year. Broadcom's market cap is currently just 16% lower than SpaceX's, and the analysis projects Broadcom's stock could jump 24% if it trades at 39 times earnings in fiscal 2026. Broadcom is trading at 23.6 times sales—far cheaper than SpaceX's 104 times sales—despite having much stronger fundamentals. Broadcom is profitable with projected 66% revenue growth and 70% earnings growth in fiscal 2026, while SpaceX is not yet profitable. Broadcom's AI revenue segment alone is projected to exceed $100 billion(約16兆円) in fiscal 2027, showing it has concrete revenue drivers beyond speculative growth targets.
Broadcom reported 143% year-over-year AI revenue growth to $10.8 billion(約1.7兆円) in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and is expecting AI revenue to jump 200% in the current quarter to $16 billion(約2.6兆円). Its valuation can be justified by accelerating growth, whereas SpaceX's expensive valuation—after raising $85.7 billion(約14兆円) in its record IPO—may continue to weigh on its share price.
- 5
Wall Street bets Micron is the next AI chip winner
Investors are turning attention to Micron Technology as a potential major beneficiary of artificial intelligence infrastructure growth, positioning the company as a competitor in the high-demand memory chip market alongside established players. As businesses scale AI systems, the demand for specialized memory chips used to power these systems is growing. Micron's potential to capture a significant share of this market could reshape investor expectations about which semiconductor companies will profit most from the AI boom.
The sustainability of Micron's competitive position depends on its ability to deliver the specialized memory products the market demands and maintain production capacity as AI infrastructure expansion continues.
- 6
Palantir surges 4.6% on Nvidia sovereign AI partnership
Palantir Technologies announced a strategic partnership with Nvidia to deploy open AI models in classified and air-gapped government environments. The architecture pairs Nvidia's Blackwell Ultra GPUs and Nemotron open models with Palantir's AIP, Ontology, Foundry, and Apollo platforms. Palantir shares rose 4.6% to $118.09 on Monday. The partnership addresses a critical need for U.S. government agencies and infrastructure operators who cannot route sensitive data through commercial cloud providers. By running large language models on on-premise or edge hardware under zero-trust security protocols, agencies can access AI capabilities without exposing proprietary data to third-party cloud systems. Palantir had shed roughly 25% in June before this news, weighed down by rising rate expectations and European contract headwinds.
The divergence in today's market performance reflects a broader rotation toward software over semiconductors. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) and State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (XSW) each rose nearly 4% on Friday, while the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell roughly 4%—described as one of the strongest relative performances for software versus semiconductors this year. Palantir remains well off its 52-week peak of $207.52.
What to Watch
Watch for signs of market rotation away from semiconductor and capital goods stocks toward software and defensive sectors, as the relentless pace of AI infrastructure spending may have already priced in much of the near-term growth in chip makers like Broadcom and Micron. Additionally, monitor how enterprise and government adoption of secure, locally-deployed AI models reshapes procurement decisions and whether this trend benefits software providers like Palantir over traditional hardware suppliers.
Sources
- Bank of America Issues Stark Warning on AI Stocks Rally
- Nvidia Stock Rises Amid Signs of Strong AI Chip Demand
- Open Models, Closed Environments: Palantir Brings Secure AI to US Agencies With NVIDIA Nemotron
- Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Will Be Worth More Than SpaceX by the End of 2026
- Wall Street Bets Micron Is the Next Nvidia AI Winner
- Palantir surges 4% on Nvidia sovereign AI pact as software beats semis
- NVIDIA’s (NVDA) Banned AI Chips Have Doubled in Price on China’s Black Market
- Is Meta (META) Still One of Billionaire Dan Loeb’s Best Growth Stocks to Buy While It Holds Out on Trump’s AI Review?
- JPMorgan Pushes Back on Broadcom (AVGO) Delay Fears and Says the TPU v9 Program Is Firmly on Schedule
- Erayak Expands U.S. Online Retail Footprint as Backup Power Demand Shifts Toward Connected and AI-Enabled Endpoint Devices
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