Nvidia's stock has fallen about 17% from its May high but now trades at a valuation on par with the S&P 500 — 21.7 times forward earnings. The timing matters because the big four AI hyperscalers plan to spend around $650 billion（約100兆円） on data center capital expenditures this year and more than $1 trillion（約160兆円） next year, signaling sustained demand for Nvidia's GPUs. Upcoming earnings reports from these hyperscalers in July and Nvidia itself in late August are expected to confirm this AI spending momentum.
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Nvidia's stock has declined around 17% from its May peak, while the company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.7 times — matching the S&P 500's valuation.
Why it matters
The big four AI hyperscalers (large cloud providers) are planning to spend around $650 billion（約100兆円） on data center capital expenditures this year and more than $1 trillion（約160兆円） next year, creating strong demand for Nvidia's GPUs and supporting revenue growth as data centers shift spending from construction to computing.
What to watch
In July, all four major hyperscalers report earnings with commentary on AI spending and monetization; Microsoft will provide fiscal year 2027 capital expenditure guidance, and TSMC will report AI semiconductor sales growth. Nvidia reports earnings in late August.
Nvidia's 17% decline from its May peak has left the company trading at a valuation level with the broader market, a shift that the article frames as a potential buying opportunity. The core driver of this thesis is the planned spending from the four largest AI hyperscalers: $650 billion（約100兆円） this year escalating to more than $1 trillion（約160兆円） next year. This capital expenditure directly translates to demand for Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs), which dominate data center computing for AI workloads. As data centers transition from construction phase spending to running computing workloads, this spending pattern is expected to sustain Nvidia's revenue growth.
The timing of upcoming earnings reports creates near-term catalysts. All four major hyperscalers will report in July alongside Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Nvidia's primary chip fabricator. Microsoft's fiscal year 2027 capital expenditure guidance is singled out as particularly important for confirming the AI spending outlook. TSMC's AI semiconductor sales growth report would similarly indicate strong demand for Nvidia's chips. Nvidia itself reports in late August. The article asserts that there has been no actual shift in spending habits from Nvidia's core clients, suggesting that when these reports arrive, they are likely to show continued strength and potentially reignite investor interest in the stock.
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