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Value ETFs up 47%, beating growth as AI trade shifts

Value ETFs up 47%, beating growth as AI trade shifts

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Value stocks are significantly outperforming growth this year. The Russell 1000 Value Index returned roughly 23% year to date, versus about 4% for growth, while VLUE surged more than 47%.

  2. Why it matters

    Investors once looked to growth and tech funds for AI exposure, but value ETFs have increasingly become direct and indirect beneficiaries of the AI investment cycle. Industrials, utilities, and materials have benefited from rising AI spending.

  3. What to watch

    VLUE tracks the MSCI USA Enhanced Value Index and holds Micron at about a 22% weight, with information technology at roughly 41% of the portfolio, so its AI-linked tilt hinges on those positions.

WHO IT HITSInvestors who assumed value funds offered little AI exposure may need to reconsider, as value ETFs like VLUE and IWD now carry significant technology and AI-linked holdings.

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Context & Analysis

Value stocks are significantly outperforming growth this year, with the Russell 1000 Value Index returning roughly 23% year to date versus about 4% for the Russell 1000 Growth Index. The iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE) has surged more than 47% year to date. Some investors favored attractively valued stocks to reduce mega-cap concentration amid heightened market volatility, but value stocks have also benefited significantly from the AI trade.

While investors traditionally look to growth and tech funds for AI exposure, value ETFs have increasingly become direct and indirect beneficiaries of the AI investment cycle. Multiples for some AI tech giants have compressed as earnings accelerated, allowing legacy tech leaders to be picked up by value screens. Industrials, utilities, and materials have also benefited from rising AI spending. VLUE tracks the MSCI USA Enhanced Value Index, with Micron about a 22% weight and information technology roughly 41% of the portfolio. IWD's index added Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft as top holdings at its late June rebalance, with IT about 20%. VTV's top holdings include JPMorgan Chase, Micron, and Berkshire Hathaway.

The performance gap between value and growth this year may hinge on whether AI-driven earnings continue to accelerate for legacy tech names and whether rising AI spending keeps lifting industrial, utility, and material stocks. For investors seeking AI exposure without concentrated mega-cap bets, value ETFs could remain a notable option, though their AI tilt depends on continued earnings momentum.

FAQ
Which value ETF has surged the most this year?
The iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE) has surged more than 47% year to date.
What are the top holdings of VLUE?
Micron (MU) is VLUE's largest position at about a 22% weight, with information technology roughly 41% of the portfolio.
How are value ETFs exposed to AI?
Multiples for some AI tech giants have compressed as earnings accelerated, letting them pass value screens, while industrials, utilities, and materials benefit from rising AI spending.
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