
What happened
Oklo and X-Energy are racing to put their first nuclear reactors into service to power AI data centers. Oklo broke ground on its Aurora-INL site in Idaho Falls in September 2025 and targets a 2028 start-up.
Why it matters
A typical 100-megawatt data center uses as much power as about 80,000 U.S. homes, making new capacity critical. Oklo is in the DOE's Reactor Pilot Program, which streamlines licensing, while X-Energy is on the standard NRC path—slower but leading to a full commercial operating license.
What to watch
Oklo appears better positioned to reach power generation first, while X-Energy may have the edge in scaling to a fleet. By December 2028, an estimated 2,441 data centers are expected to be online, and the author favors Oklo for its revenue and operational data head start.
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The race between Oklo and X-Energy highlights a bottleneck for AI growth: electricity. Data centers need massive power, and nuclear reactors offer a steady, carbon-free source. Oklo's advantage is its pilot program status, which fast-tracks licensing and testing, allowing it to break ground and target 2028. This gives it a concrete timeline and potential early revenue.
X-Energy's path through standard NRC licensing is slower but yields a full commercial operating license, which could ease scaling to multiple reactors. While Oklo might win the first-mover race, X-Energy's approach could be better for building a fleet to meet the huge demand from thousands of data centers expected by 2028.
The author's preference for Oklo stems from the immediate revenue and operational experience a working reactor provides, which can be reinvested into faster future deployments. However, the final outcome remains uncertain until both companies reach their milestones.
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