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Texas data centers could wipe out decades of air quality gains: HARC

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Texas data centers could wipe out decades of air quality gains: HARC

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    A new Houston Advanced Research Center (HARC) report projects that if all planned Texas data centers plugged into the grid on the anticipated power mix, fine particle pollution would more than triple by 2006 levels and smog-forming NOx emissions would rise 136 percent, approaching 2004 levels.

  2. Why it matters

    The outcome depends on how developers power the sites; pairing grid power with onsite renewables could cut NOx emissions up to 10 times lower, while building gas engines onsite could produce the highest pollution levels, HARC modeled.

WHO IT HITSTexas residents and state air-quality regulators face the prospect of pollution levels not seen since the 2000s, while data center developers and utilities decide whether to power new projects with gas turbines or renewable energy.

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Context & Analysis

Texas has become the leading data center market in the U.S. by power capacity, with 26 gigawatts of existing and under-construction projects. A separate Wood Mackenzie report published in March found the state is also bracing for four times more proposed data center capacity running on power generated onsite than any other state. That distinction matters because HARC modeled different outcomes based on three projections for data center energy demand, and the choices developers make about power sourcing swing the pollution result widely. Pairing grid power with onsite solar and wind could cut NOx emissions up to 10 times lower, but building gas engines onsite to avoid long grid-connection wait times could produce the highest pollution levels possible. John Hall, HARC's CEO, said the transportation sector, the state, and other stakeholders have worked for decades to bring emissions numbers down, and that progress is now at risk.

FAQ
How much could air pollution rise in Texas from data centers?
Under HARC's scenario, fine particle pollution from the power sector would more than triple, reaching its highest level since 2006, and smog-forming NOx emissions would increase 136 percent, approaching 2004 levels.
What could reduce the pollution impact of data centers?
HARC found NOx emissions could be up to 10 times lower if data centers pair grid power with renewable electricity generated onsite.
How big is Texas's data center market?
Texas leads the U.S. with 26 gigawatts of existing and under-construction data center capacity, and is bracing for four times more proposed onsite-powered capacity than any other state, according to a separate Wood Mackenzie report.
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