
What happened
A new Houston Advanced Research Center (HARC) report projects that if all planned Texas data centers plugged into the grid on the anticipated power mix, fine particle pollution would more than triple by 2006 levels and smog-forming NOx emissions would rise 136 percent, approaching 2004 levels.
Why it matters
The outcome depends on how developers power the sites; pairing grid power with onsite renewables could cut NOx emissions up to 10 times lower, while building gas engines onsite could produce the highest pollution levels, HARC modeled.
WHO IT HITSTexas residents and state air-quality regulators face the prospect of pollution levels not seen since the 2000s, while data center developers and utilities decide whether to power new projects with gas turbines or renewable energy.
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Texas has become the leading data center market in the U.S. by power capacity, with 26 gigawatts of existing and under-construction projects. A separate Wood Mackenzie report published in March found the state is also bracing for four times more proposed data center capacity running on power generated onsite than any other state. That distinction matters because HARC modeled different outcomes based on three projections for data center energy demand, and the choices developers make about power sourcing swing the pollution result widely. Pairing grid power with onsite solar and wind could cut NOx emissions up to 10 times lower, but building gas engines onsite to avoid long grid-connection wait times could produce the highest pollution levels possible. John Hall, HARC's CEO, said the transportation sector, the state, and other stakeholders have worked for decades to bring emissions numbers down, and that progress is now at risk.
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