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Better AI Stock: SpaceX or Palantir? Answer: SpaceX

Better AI Stock: SpaceX or Palantir? Answer: SpaceX

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    The Motley Fool picked SpaceX over Palantir as the better AI buy, noting xAI revenue grew 213% year over year and SpaceX trades at about 44 times this year's sales estimates versus Palantir's 55 times.

  2. Why it matters

    xAI's large language model approach appears likely to see more adoption than Palantir's ready-to-deploy software, which the article sees driving faster growth.

  3. What to watch

    Both stocks carry valuation risk, with the article flagging 20 times sales as expensive and 40 times as extremely expensive. It also cautions Palantir's projected 50% growth next year has been repeatedly downgraded, while Wall Street estimates SpaceX overall revenue will grow 153%.

WHO IT HITSAI-focused stock investors weighing SpaceX against Palantir, particularly those holding either stock amid stretched valuations, face a choice between faster growth and a lower entry price.

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Context & Analysis

The article frames the SpaceX-versus-Palantir question around two different AI businesses rather than head-to-head rivals. Palantir sells a ready-to-deploy data analytics platform built for government and commercial use, while xAI provides large language models that others can build applications around. That distinction matters because the two companies are chasing different parts of the AI market, and the article argues xAI's building-block approach will find wider adoption over time.

The growth numbers support the case. xAI's revenue grew 213% year over year last quarter, far outpacing SpaceX's overall 92% and Palantir's 93%. But the article also notes SpaceX trades at about 44 times this year's sales estimates, cheaper than Palantir's 55 times, even as both sit far above the 20-times level typically considered expensive. That combination of faster growth and a lower entry price is why the author sides with SpaceX.

The stakes hinge on whether xAI's faster growth materializes as projected. Wall Street expects SpaceX's overall revenue to grow 153% next year, with xAI leading the way, against 50% for Palantir. The article itself cautions that Palantir's projection has been downgraded repeatedly and that both stocks carry valuation risk, so investors weighing the two are effectively betting on whether the growth gap holds.

FAQ
How fast is xAI's revenue growing?
xAI's revenue grew 213% year over year last quarter. That far outpaced SpaceX as a whole, which grew 92%.
How expensive are SpaceX and Palantir?
SpaceX trades for about 44 times this year's sales estimates, while Palantir trades for 55 times. A 20-times-sales valuation is typically considered expensive.
What does the article see SpaceX growing next year?
Wall Street analysts estimate SpaceX's overall revenue will grow at a 153% year-over-year pace next year, likely led by xAI. Palantir is expected to grow 50%.
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