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Qualcomm price target raised to $180 on Amazon AI deal

Qualcomm price target raised to $180 on Amazon AI deal

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    RBC Capital Markets raised its price target on Qualcomm to $180 from $160 after the chipmaker's agreement with Amazon. Analyst Srini Pajjuri kept a Sector Perform rating.

  2. Why it matters

    The deal's purchase commitments could reach $60 billion, and RBC estimates about $6 billion in additional annual revenue over the next decade if all milestones are met. This compares to Qualcomm's earlier data-center revenue targets of $300 million for fiscal 2026 and $5 billion for fiscal 2027.

  3. What to watch

    Revenue is expected to begin in the December 2026 quarter, with some programs already in production. The potential hinges on whether all related milestones are achieved.

WHO IT HITSQualcomm's data-center business and Amazon's server procurement teams are directly affected. For Qualcomm, the deal could transform its data-center revenue trajectory, while Amazon's commitments signal a deeper reliance on Qualcomm's server processors and custom AI silicon paths.

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Context & Analysis

RBC's price target hike follows Qualcomm's agreement with Amazon, a move that could significantly boost Qualcomm's presence in the data-center AI market. The deal covers server processors, related technology, and manufacturing services, with commitments potentially reaching $60 billion. This scale dwarfs Qualcomm's earlier data-center revenue targets of $300 million for fiscal 2026 and $5 billion for fiscal 2027, suggesting a major strategic shift.

Analyst Srini Pajjuri kept a Sector Perform rating, indicating a neutral stance despite the optimistic outlook. Amazon is cited as one of Qualcomm's major hyperscaler customers, potentially opening a path into custom AI silicon. This relationship could diversify Qualcomm's revenue streams beyond mobile chips into high-growth data center infrastructure.

The forecast of $6 billion in additional annual revenue over the next decade is conditional on achieving all related milestones. Thus, the actual benefit hinges on execution and Amazon's continued commitment. Investors should watch for progress on these milestones as 2026 approaches.

FAQ
What is the new price target for Qualcomm?
RBC Capital Markets raised its price target on Qualcomm to $180 from $160.
How much could the Amazon deal be worth?
Purchase commitments and payments could potentially reach $60 billion. RBC estimates about $6 billion in additional annual revenue over the next decade if all milestones are achieved.
When will revenue from the Amazon deal begin?
Revenue from the relationship is expected to begin in the December 2026 quarter, with some programs already in production.
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