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RoboticsThe Robot ReportPublished: Oct 10, 2026, 22:01 JST

Sauvage: 99% robot dexterity yields 36.6% workflow success

Sauvage: 99% robot dexterity yields 36.6% workflow success

TDK Ventures' Nicolas Sauvage wrote that a robot succeeding at each action 99% of the time would finish a 100-action workflow on the first attempt just 36.6% of the time; at 99.9%, the figure rises to 90.5%.

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Context & Analysis

Sauvage's argument builds from a compounding-probability example rather than a product announcement, extending his firm's long-standing thesis as a robotics investor. As founder and president of TDK Ventures, the corporate venture arm of TDK Corp., he says its investments in Agility, ANYbotics, and Starship have changed the questions he asks, moving the focus away from which robot looks most human.

He points to three portfolio companies as evidence for purpose-built reliability: Agility's Digit, ANYbotics' four-legged inspection robots, and Starship's small, wheeled delivery robots. The specific figures he cites — more than 33,000 inspections across 450 inspection points for ANYbotics, and more than 10 million autonomous deliveries for Starship — illustrate that different physical forms can each fit a distinct job. The proposed shift in measurement is toward what percentage of complete workflows finish without human assistance, and how quickly a robot can recover when something goes wrong.

FAQ
Why is a 99% success rate not enough for robot automation?
A job rarely consists of a single action. At a 99% success rate for each of 100 actions in sequence, the probability all 100 succeed on the first attempt is just 36.6%.
What are examples of purpose-built robots with reliable performance?
Agility's bipedal Digit connects directly to specialized tools for logistics and industrial work, while ANYbotics' four-legged robots reportedly carried out more than 33,000 inspections across 450 inspection points in one deployment.
What does TDK Ventures manage?
It manages $500 million across four funds and backs early-stage startups globally, including Agility, ANYbotics, and Starship.
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