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AI Safety researcher reflects on whether the community has already failed to control advanced AI development by early 2026.

LessWrong AIApr 9, 20261 min read
AI Safety researcher reflects on whether the community has already failed to control advanced AI development by early 2026.

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3 Key Points

  1. Written from the perspective of early 2026, the author questions whether AI Safety efforts have passed the point of no return in controlling AI development.

  2. The piece promises to explain 'the plan' as understood in 2024, establishing a baseline for AI Safety strategy two years prior.

  3. The author indicates a significantly more pessimistic outlook than 2024, citing failures in governance and policy plans that reveal naiveté in earlier predictions.

  4. Key concerns include more aggressive AI progress timelines than previously expected and challenges within the AI Safety community itself.

  5. Despite the negative framing, the author concludes the answer is 'no' — suggesting the situation remains within humanity's control, though with decreased margin for error.

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