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IMF chief: AI 'slow-moving tsunami' threatens 40% of jobs

IMF chief: AI 'slow-moving tsunami' threatens 40% of jobs

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva said at IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok that AI is a 'slow-moving tsunami,' with around 40% of jobs worldwide to be augmented, downgraded, or eliminated. Singapore's president said full-time graduate hiring fell to 74.4% in 2025 from 79.4% in 2024.

  2. Why it matters

    Young graduates risk missing the entry-level rungs that traditionally led to career growth, and governments may face lower tax revenues from labor market disruption. Georgieva said the demand for workers is shifting rather than shrinking.

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Context & Analysis

Georgieva's warning came at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, joined by Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam. Shanmugaratnam pointed to a decline in full-time employment for Singapore university graduates, from 79.4% in 2024 to 74.4% in 2025. He argued that governments should treat the issue as a long-term structural challenge, citing the responses to the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic as possible models. Without early intervention, he warned, graduates could end up competing with the next year's cohort, losing skills and trust in the future.

The debate is not settled among technology leaders. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said he expected more impact on entry-level white-collar jobs by now and is 'delighted' to be wrong. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei offered a nuanced view, suggesting that if 90% of a job is automated, the remaining 10% could expand to become the whole role and multiply productivity. President Donald Trump has taken an optimistic stance, calling AI a 'tremendous job producer' and saying there will be so many jobs that robots will be needed to fill them. Meanwhile, protests by students in France over school facilities and education funding reflect broader anxiety about the future of work.

FAQ
What did the IMF estimate about job impact?
The IMF estimates that around 40% of jobs worldwide will be augmented, downgraded, or eliminated as AI advances, according to Georgieva.
How is graduate hiring changing in Singapore?
In Singapore, 74.4% of university graduates secured full-time positions in 2025, down from 79.4% in 2024, according to data reported by The Straits Times.
What do other AI leaders say about job losses?
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said he thought more entry-level white-collar jobs would have been eliminated by now and is 'delighted' to be wrong. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said if 90% of a job is automated, the remaining 10% could expand and boost productivity.

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