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Large Language ModelsAI Business & IndustryTHE DECODERPublished: Nov 15, 2026, 04:00 JST

Gemini 4 Carbon tops MathArena, dethroning GPT-6.1 Sol

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Gemini 4 Carbon tops MathArena, dethroning GPT-6.1 Sol

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Google's Gemini 4 Carbon took the #1 spot on MathArena with an expected 85.4% score, displacing OpenAI's GPT-6.1 Sol, while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.2 placed #2 at 82.8%, making Carbon one of the most capable publicly available models for math.

  2. Why it matters

    For the first time in a while, no OpenAI model leads the MathArena benchmark, with OpenAI's top models not publicly available yet.

WHO IT HITSThis matters for AI developers and researchers choosing a model for demanding math and reasoning tasks, since the new top performers can require far longer runs and higher spending than GPT-6.1 Sol.

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Context & Analysis

The MathArena leaderboard had been led by OpenAI models, so Gemini 4 Carbon's rise to the top marks a shift in which company holds the benchmark crown. OpenAI's models, which recently allegedly solved demanding equations like the Navier-Stokes equations, aren't publicly available yet, meaning the comparison is among models users can actually access.

Gemini 4 Carbon's most common failure mode is exceeding the time limit, and the model almost never gives up on a task—a trait that can be read as either positive or negative. In one case, it launched a script that ran for more than eleven hours without checking on its progress. That persistence likely contributes to both its benchmark score and its cost profile in testing.

The cost gap is pronounced: with the reasoning settings used in testing, Carbon and Fable 5.2 cost roughly 15 and 40 times as much as GPT-6.1 Sol, respectively. For teams weighing benchmark performance against budget, the leaderboard win may come with a steep trade-off.

FAQ
What is Gemini 4 Carbon's expected score and release date?
An expected performance of 85.4% ±3.0% and a release date of November 10, 2026 are listed.
How much more do the top models cost compared with GPT-6.1 Sol?
With the reasoning settings used in testing, Gemini 4 Carbon and Claude Fable 5.2 cost roughly 15 and 40 times as much as GPT-6.1 Sol, respectively.
What is Gemini 4 Carbon's most common failure mode?
Exceeding the time limit is its most common failure. In one case, it launched a script that ran for more than eleven hours without checking on its progress.
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