
TSMC and ASML are both strong semiconductor supply chain plays, but TSMC emerges as the better overall AI bet. The Taiwanese chipmaker controls 73% of the global foundry market and posted Q2 revenue of $40.2 billion, up 33.7% year-over-year, with a net profit margin of 55.6%.
Its advanced 2-nanometer, 3-nanometer, and 5-nanometer processes underpin AI chip production globally, while a $100 billion Arizona factory expansion supports future demand.
ASML, which manufactures the lithography machines essential to chip production, posted €9.32 billion ($10.69 billion) in Q2 revenue and sold 86 new machines, but TSMC's direct role fabricating the advanced processors driving AI infrastructure gives it the strategic edge.
What happened
TSMC, the world's largest semiconductor manufacturer, now controls an estimated 73% of the global foundry market (up from 69% in Q4 2024) and brought in $40.2 billion in Q2 revenue, up 33.7% year-over-year. ASML, which makes the lithography machines that TSMC and others use to manufacture chips, sold 86 new lithography units in Q2 and posted €9.32 billion ($10.69 billion) in revenue, up 11% year-over-year.
Why it matters
Both companies have outpaced the Nasdaq Composite significantly over the last five years—TSMC's net income rose 251% and revenue grew 165%, while ASML posted better than 90% gains in both metrics. TSMC's dominance in advanced chip fabrication (its 3-nm and 5-nm technologies generated more than 60% of recent-quarter revenue) and its new $100 billion Arizona factory expansion position it as the more direct play on AI infrastructure buildout, whereas ASML supplies the tools that enable that buildout.
What to watch
TSMC's 2-nanometer process, which generated 3% of Q2 2026 revenue for the first time, represents the cutting edge of chip manufacturing. The company's $100 billion Arizona expansion and accelerating demand from AI-driven capacity expansion at its customers signal sustained growth visibility.
TSMC and ASML are among the strongest semiconductor supply chain investments of the past five years, having significantly outpaced the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite. TSMC, headquartered in Taiwan and the world's largest semiconductor chip manufacturer, has seen its net income surge 251% and revenue climb 165% over that period. The company now controls an estimated 73% of the global foundry market, up from 69% in Q4 2024, and fabricated more than 12,600 different products in 2025 using 305 different process technologies. Its most advanced offering, the 2-nanometer process, delivers higher density and energy efficiency; in the most recent quarter, the 2-nm node contributed 3% of revenue for the first time. The company's 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies have been the backbone of its business, generating more than 60% of revenue in recent quarters. In Q2, TSMC reported revenue of $40.2 billion, up 33.7% from a year earlier, with a net profit margin of 55.6%. To sustain this leadership, TSMC announced a $100 billion expansion of its Arizona factory to support advanced packaging fabs and 2-nanometer processing technology.
ASML, a Dutch company, manufactures the specialized lithography machines that TSMC and other foundries depend on to produce those minuscule circuits. Most chip manufacturing uses deep ultraviolet (DUV) technology with lenses to focus light beams and create microscopic circuit patterns. ASML sells DUV machines but also offers the more advanced extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology, which uses mirrors instead of lenses and can perform tasks DUV machines cannot. In Q2, ASML sold 86 new lithography units and five used units, up from 67 new machines and 12 used machines a year ago. The company's revenue jumped to €9.32 billion ($10.69 billion), up 11% year-over-year, while net income reached €2.91 billion ($3.16 billion), up 5.8%, with gross margins of 54%. CEO Christophe Fouquet underscored the tailwind: "Ongoing AI-related investments and continued progress in AI technologies are driving demand for advanced logic and memory chips, further strengthening the semiconductor industry's growth outlook. Our customers, in turn, continue to accelerate their capacity expansion plans."
When weighing the two as AI plays, the article's analysis favors TSMC. Although both are quality investments, TSMC's increasing leadership in chip manufacturing, its expansion plans, its command of leading-edge process technologies, and its central role in fabricating the advanced processors powering AI systems give it the edge. ASML remains essential infrastructure, but TSMC sits closer to the core of AI infrastructure buildout.
Both TSMC and ASML occupy critical positions in the semiconductor supply chain, but they serve fundamentally different roles. TSMC manufactures the actual chips—the silicon wafers that become processors and memory—while ASML supplies the machines that enable that manufacturing. Over the past five years, both have delivered strong returns, with TSMC's net income climbing 251% and ASML posting better than 90% gains in both net income and revenue. However, the article's author concludes that TSMC is the better AI play going forward, citing its increasing dominance in advanced chip production, its leadership in cutting-edge process technologies, and its central role in fabricating the processors that power AI systems worldwide.
TSMC's competitive moat has widened: the company now controls 73% of the global foundry market, up from 69% just two quarters prior. Its advanced processes—particularly the 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer nodes that generated more than 60% of recent revenue—are in high demand as AI model developers and cloud providers scale their infrastructure. The $100 billion Arizona expansion signals confidence in sustained long-term demand. Meanwhile, ASML's business remains robust, with Q2 lithography unit sales rising 29 units year-over-year and CEO Christophe Fouquet noting that "ongoing AI-related investments and continued progress in AI technologies are driving demand for advanced logic and memory chips," but ASML's role is one step removed from the chips themselves.
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