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Semafor TechPublished: Oct 5, 2026, 22:01 JST

Brookfield's Teskey: AI energy crunch lasts "through the end of this decade"

Brookfield's Teskey: AI energy crunch lasts "through the end of this decade"

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Brookfield CEO Connor Teskey told Semafor the energy imbalance and capital needs behind AI infrastructure will last "through the end of this decade and beyond," citing fuel cells, renewables, batteries and nuclear as fastest-growing power sources.

  2. Why it matters

    If Teskey is right, the power bottleneck won't ease soon, so the investors who can fund generation and data centers stand to keep earning — even with rivals at the same table.

  3. What to watch

    Teskey says Brookfield is "doing the tiniest fraction" of opportunities it sees, so returns will hinge on project selection; watch whether gas turbines, which he says can't be ordered today for delivery in a year starting with 'two', remain a constraint.

WHO IT HITSThe remarks land on infrastructure investors and energy project developers weighing AI-related capital deployment, and on the data center operators and tech companies that need that power. Teskey's view suggests financing capacity, not demand, is the near-term constraint.

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Context & Analysis

Teskey frames AI infrastructure as following a familiar playbook: independent capital providers build and hold assets first, then banks syndicate financing, then private credit and insurance step in. The difference this time, he says, is scale and speed.

On energy, he is blunt that gas remains critical, but the wait for a new turbine stretches past a year starting with a 'two.' That is why solar and batteries are seeing the most growth now, while nuclear offers higher potential returns because fewer investors have the expertise to pull off projects.

Public pushback on data centers and fears of overbuilding are, in his view, "most starkly divorced from the fundamentals." Even if demand fell, he argues supply would still fall short. The test for Brookfield's thesis is whether its tight deal filter keeps returns intact as more capital crowds in — and whether its long-term contracts truly insulate it if the demand environment shifts decades from now.

FAQ
Which energy technologies does Brookfield see growing fastest?
Fuel cells because they deploy fastest, renewables because they are the cheapest bulk electricity, batteries and storage for grid stability, and nuclear for large-scale baseload and energy security.
Why is Brookfield willing to share deals with competitors?
Teskey says the energy buildout and rewired global trade require more capital than governments or public markets have traditionally provided, so five or six leading players can sit at one table because there is "enough to go around."
How does Brookfield protect returns if AI demand falls?
Teskey says projects are built under 20- or 25-year contracts with major counterparties, so Brookfield earns a return in that initial contract regardless of demand decades later.

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