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Nvidia at 14.4 times earnings edges Broadcom as AI pick

Nvidia at 14.4 times earnings edges Broadcom as AI pick

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Broadcom's AI chip revenue rose 221% year over year to $16.7 billion, while Nvidia's total revenue climbed 106% to $96.2 billion in its latest quarter.

  2. Why it matters

    Nvidia's growth is broadening — AI cloud, industrial and enterprise revenue rose 138%, faster than its 102% hyperscale growth — and it trades at roughly 14.4 times forward earnings versus about 18.8 times for Broadcom.

  3. What to watch

    The test is whether custom chips like OpenAI's Jalapeño, co-developed with Broadcom, eat into Nvidia's inference share; Broadcom's guidance of $115 billion in AI chip revenue for fiscal 2027 is the number to track.

WHO IT HITSInvestors weighing AI chip exposure, and the large cloud buyers deciding between Nvidia's general platform and custom accelerators, are the ones most affected.

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Context & Analysis

Both Broadcom and Nvidia sit on the same global AI infrastructure build-out, but they meet it from different angles. Broadcom helps large customers build custom chips for specific workloads, while Nvidia sells a broader computing platform serving many customers and use cases. That difference shapes how each company's growth looks. Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue jumped 221% year over year to $16.7 billion, and management now expects AI chip revenue of $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028. Nvidia is growing from a much larger base: revenue surged 106% year over year to $96.2 billion, with Data Center revenue up 117% to $89 billion.

The competitive thread running through the comparison is custom silicon. Some large AI companies are developing their own chips to cut computing costs and optimize inference, the step where an AI model runs in production. OpenAI's Jalapeño chip, co-developed with Broadcom, is one example; according to Reuters, OpenAI developed it partly to reduce its reliance on Nvidia GPUs and lower operating costs. The threat is most direct among hyperscalers (large cloud providers), which have the scale and resources to design their own chips.

Nvidia's answer so far is breadth. Revenue from its AI cloud, industrial, and enterprise customers jumped 138% year over year in the second quarter, faster than the 102% growth in its hyperscale business, suggesting growth is spreading beyond the buyers most able to design their own silicon. On valuation, Nvidia traded at roughly 14.4 times forward one-year earnings versus about 18.8 times for Broadcom as of Sept. 10. The outcome likely hinges on whether custom accelerators meaningfully dent Nvidia's inference share — and on whether Nvidia's wider customer base keeps growing faster than its largest accounts.

FAQ
How fast is each company's AI business growing?
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue jumped 221% year over year to $16.7 billion. Nvidia's revenue surged 106% year over year to $96.2 billion.
What is OpenAI's Jalapeño chip?
It is a custom chip co-developed with Broadcom, built to run large AI models more efficiently and reduce reliance on Nvidia GPUs. It is planned for deployment across very large data centers.
Which stock is cheaper?
Nvidia traded at roughly 14.4 times forward one-year earnings as of Sept. 10, compared with about 18.8 times for Broadcom.
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