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Qualcomm aims for $15B data center revenue by 2029, targets AI inference boom

Yahoo Finance AI12h ago5 min read
Qualcomm aims for $15B data center revenue by 2029, targets AI inference boom

Key takeaway

Qualcomm is targeting $15 billion(約2.4兆円) in data center revenue by fiscal 2029 as it enters the booming AI inference chip market, already securing Meta as a major customer. The company projects earnings per share could exceed $18.00 by fiscal 2029—an 18.5% annual growth rate—while trading at attractive multiples (17 times forward earnings) compared with competitors like Nvidia and Broadcom. This positions Qualcomm to potentially outperform both incumbents as the industry shifts toward inference workloads.

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3 Key Points

  • What happened

    Qualcomm revealed at its Investor Day 2026 that it expects at least $15 billion(約2.4兆円) in data center revenue by fiscal 2029, offering custom AI processors and inference-focused chips. The company has already secured Meta Platforms as a customer, which will deploy Qualcomm's Dragonfly C1000 server CPU starting this year under a multi-generation agreement.

  • Why it matters

    As AI compute workloads in data centers shift toward inference—expected to account for two-thirds of AI-focused computational workloads this year, up from 50% in 2025—demand for cost-effective inference chips is surging. Qualcomm's entry into this fast-growing market could supercharge its earnings: the company estimates earnings per share could exceed $18.00 in fiscal 2029, suggesting annual earnings growth of 18.5% over three years, compared with a projected 10% earnings drop in fiscal 2026.

  • What to watch

    Qualcomm currently trades at just 17 times forward earnings and 4.6 times sales, compared with Broadcom at 61 times earnings and 24 times sales, and Nvidia at 30 times earnings and 18.6 times sales. If Qualcomm reaches $18.00 earnings per share in fiscal 2029 and trades at 26.3 times earnings (in line with the Nasdaq-100 forward multiple), its stock price could reach $473, representing potential upside of 150% from current levels.

FAQ

Which customer has Qualcomm already signed for its AI data center chips?
Meta Platforms will deploy Qualcomm's Dragonfly C1000 server CPU in its servers starting this year under a multi-generation agreement.
How do Qualcomm's current valuations compare to Nvidia and Broadcom?
Qualcomm trades at 17 times forward earnings and 4.6 times sales, while Broadcom trades at 61 times earnings and 24 times sales, and Nvidia at 30 times earnings and 18.6 times sales.
What is Qualcomm's earnings growth target for the next three years?
Qualcomm estimates earnings per share could exceed $18.00 in fiscal 2029, compared with an expected $10.80 in fiscal 2026, representing annual earnings growth of 18.5% over that period.

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