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Large Language ModelsAI Business & IndustryStratechery (Ben Thompson)Published: Oct 15, 2026, 19:01 JST

Ari Emanuel: AI shifts ad dollars to Facebook, live events

Ari Emanuel: AI shifts ad dollars to Facebook, live events

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Ari Emanuel and Stratechery's Ben Thompson discussed AI and advertising, with Thompson arguing AI agents will remove the human from search. Emanuel said Amazon's $60 billion advertising business is in jeopardy and Facebook will gain.

  2. Why it matters

    If AI predicts what users want without search, ad budgets may flow to social networks and live events, where audiences are concentrated. Thompson said social networks are near their lowest value and will get more valuable.

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Context & Analysis

The conversation centered on how AI changes the economics of advertising. Thompson argued that current ad models are essentially attacks on search results, but once AI agents act on a user's behalf, the human is no longer in the loop, breaking the search-ad model. He said this threatens Google and Amazon, while social networks like Facebook, where users still interact directly, become more valuable. Emanuel agreed and added that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy will have to make a deal to address the $60 billion advertising business at risk.

The discussion also touched on live events and human connection. Thompson said as AI takes over tasks like answering questions, the desire for live experiences will grow, benefiting companies like TKO Group Holdings. Emanuel's new company, MARI, focuses on live events and experiences, which he described as a bet on that trend. Both agreed that advertising in live sports and entertainment will command high premiums because of concentrated audiences.

FAQ
What did Ari Emanuel say about Amazon's advertising business?
He said Amazon's $60 billion advertising business is in jeopardy because AI changes how people search and shop.
What is Muse and why does it matter?
Muse is a product that Thompson said made a promise not to use user data for advertising. He argued that promise limits it now, but a personalized ad predictor inside a private AI could pay off later.
What did Thompson say about social networks?
He said social networks are almost at their lowest value but will become more valuable over time. He named Facebook, Instagram, X, and LinkedIn as the main US social networks.
Stratechery (Ben Thompson)Read Original Article

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