Anthropic's $2 trillion IPO nears as researcher warns of >10% AI doom odds

Anthropic was founded as an AI safety lab, and CEO Dario Amodei has put his own p(doom) at somewhere between 10% and 25%, so researchers voicing alarm are saying out loud what has been baked into the company's identity from day one. Hubinger's post came in response to a colleague's resignation, and Drake Thomas framed the concerns as genuine fear rather than marketing. The timing, however, is unusual: a public listing answers to shareholders expecting growth, which could mean less appetite for the kind of voluntary slowdown Amodei has floated. Some investors are already paying attention, with SOC Investment Group calling for a delay because the confidential IPO filing was submitted in June, before recent hacking incidents, extinction warnings, and pacing proposals emerged. On the other side, going public could bring transparency and scrutiny that make the company safer, and a record of taking risks seriously could appeal to enterprise customers. OpenAI, by contrast, has paused its own IPO, with CEO Sam Altman telling Fortune that AI safety concerns made it "an ill-advised moment to go public." What happens next likely hinges on how investors read those risks once the S-1s emerge.