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AI inference power demand to hit 46GW by 2035

AI inference power demand to hit 46GW by 2035

Key takeaway

  • AI inference power demand will surge from 2GW in 2026 to 46GW by 2035.

  • Code generation will be the largest workload, exceeding half of total.

  • This growth drives infrastructure investment and market consolidation.

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    ABI Research projects that AI inference data center power demand will grow from 2GW in 2026 to 46GW by 2035, with code generation becoming the largest workload.

  2. Why it matters

    Code generation workloads are expected to grow at a 52% CAGR, reaching 23.6GW by 2035—over half of all AI inference power. This shift highlights the rapid expansion of inference-specific infrastructure.

  3. What to watch

    The market is consolidating, with players like CoreWeave and Qualcomm acquiring companies such as Weights & Biases and Modular. Open-source model adoption is projected to rise from 35% in 2025 to 55% by 2026.

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Context & Analysis

The report from ABI Research signals a fundamental shift in AI infrastructure: as models move from training to inference, power demand is expected to grow dramatically, from just 2GW in 2026 to 46GW by 2035. The rapid growth of code generation workloads, with a 52% CAGR, underscores the increasing reliance on AI for software development, a trend that will reshape data center planning and energy consumption.

The market is consolidating as major players seek to expand their capabilities. CoreWeave and Qualcomm, among others, have made acquisitions to strengthen their positions, while open-source model adoption is projected to rise from 35% in 2025 to 55% by 2026, driven by cost and flexibility concerns. These moves highlight the competitive dynamics as companies race to capture a growing market.

The report also points to challenges ahead, including the need for specialized hardware, the risk of over-reliance on AI-native startups, and the push toward edge computing to reduce costs and latency. As AI inference becomes a larger part of overall AI spending, these factors will shape the industry's evolution over the next decade.

FAQ

When will code generation become the largest AI inference workload?
According to ABI Research, code generation will become the largest workload by 2035, surpassing text generation, which remains dominant until 2027.
What is the projected growth rate for code generation workloads?
Code generation workloads are expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52% from 2026 to 2035.
Which companies are involved in recent AI inference acquisitions?
CoreWeave acquired Weights & Biases, Nebius acquired Clarifai, Fireworks AI acquired Baseten, and Qualcomm acquired Modular. Cloudflare and Replicate also announced acquisitions.

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