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Amex Taps Gen Z Spending Surge, Builds AI-Powered Dining Platform

Top Companies AI — US (2/2)1h ago
Amex Taps Gen Z Spending Surge, Builds AI-Powered Dining Platform

Key takeaway

American Express reported that Gen Z spending jumped 40% year-over-year in the second quarter, making young customers its fastest-growing segment and now representing 38% of U.S. consumer-billed business. Amex is leveraging its closed-loop payment data—knowledge of both customer intent and merchant delivery—as a defensive moat against fraud and to support agentic commerce, the emerging category of AI agents making purchases on behalf of users. The company is also acquiring TheFork and integrating its restaurant platforms Resy and Tock into a dining loyalty ecosystem, turning dining reservations into a data-collection and engagement engine for young customers.

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3 Key Points

  • What happened

    American Express reported 9% card spending growth (FX-adjusted) in Q2, driven by Gen Z spending up 40% year-over-year and millennials/Gen Z now accounting for 38% of U.S. consumer-billed business and 65% of new global consumer accounts. Consumer spending in the U.S. climbed 11%, its fastest growth since early 2018 excluding pandemic-distorted periods.

  • Why it matters

    Amex is positioning its closed-loop data—knowing both what customers intended and what merchants delivered—as a competitive edge for managing fraud and supporting agentic commerce (AI agents that make purchases on behalf of users). The company is building dining into a loyalty and data-collection platform through Resy, Tock, and its proposed acquisition of TheFork (adding 50,000 restaurants across 11 European countries), turning restaurant reservations and payments into touchpoints that feed AI and personalization.

  • What to watch

    Amex raised its full-year revenue growth forecast to 10% (from a range of 9% to 10%), though Q2 revenue growth of 10% came in below Wall Street expectations and shares dipped 5% in early trading Friday. The company is investing in agentic commerce initiatives not previously planned for 2026, signaling management sees AI-driven purchasing as material to its near-term roadmap.

In Depth

American Express' second-quarter earnings revealed a spending story reshaped by younger customers and artificial intelligence. Card spending rose 9% on an FX-adjusted basis, with consumer spending in the United States reaching 11% growth—its fastest rate since early 2018 excluding pandemic-distorted periods. Travel and entertainment spending climbed 10%, goods and services rose 9%, and commercial spending accelerated to 5%. Within retail, spending jumped 13%; restaurants increased 10%; airlines rose 10%; and American Express travel bookings surged 22%.

Gen Z emerged as the clear winner. Generation Z spending grew 40% year-over-year, far outpacing millennials at 14%, Generation X at 10%, and baby boomers and older customers at 5%. Together, millennials and Gen Z now account for 38% of U.S. consumer-billed business and represent 65% of new global consumer accounts opened worldwide. CEO Stephen Squeri attributed the gains not merely to new customer acquisition but to accelerating engagement. He noted that "engagement has been really accelerated, and that's driving a lot of the spending," adding that restaurant spending overall was up 10%, but "when you look at Resy restaurant spend, it's double that." CFO Christophe Le Caillec acknowledged that young customers typically enter the Amex franchise with low income, but "we're going to grow with them, and they're going to grow with us."

Amex is doubling down on dining as a strategic infrastructure. Restaurant spending is the company's largest travel and entertainment category, and Amex is building around it rather than simply collecting interchange fees at checkout. The proposed acquisition of TheFork would add 50,000 restaurants across 11 European countries to a dining portfolio that already includes Resy and Tock. Squeri described the strategy as creating "smaller closed loops inside its larger payments network by connecting cardholders directly with restaurants." These platforms also serve as acquisition channels, offering cardholders special access and benefits while remaining open to nonmembers. Amex cardholders generate higher average restaurant tickets than non-cardholders, further deepening the economics of the closed-loop model.

AI and agentic commerce are reshaping Amex's competitive positioning. Agentic commerce—transactions executed by AI agents on behalf of users—raises new questions around fraud, customer intent, and AI hallucinations. Squeri said Amex's advantage lies in having information from both sides of a transaction: "We know what the customer wanted to do, and we'll also know what the merchant delivered." This closed-loop visibility could become a moat in an era where open-loop networks like Visa and Mastercard have only partial transaction visibility. However, Squeri cautioned that agentic commerce is still immature. "We're sort of in the preseason," he said. "We're not even … in the early innings." Despite this early stage, Amex is investing in agentic commerce initiatives that were not part of the company's original 2026 technology spending plans, signaling management's conviction that the trend is material.

On the commercial side, billed business rose 5%, with U.S. small- to medium-sized businesses and large/global corporations growing at the same rate. Travel and entertainment spending among commercial customers jumped 8%, twice the 4% increase in goods and services. Amex has begun piloting a new expense management platform with middle-market customers, an area where the company faces competitive pressure from fintech providers. Revenue growth for Q2 reached 10%, below Wall Street expectations, causing shares to dip 5% in early trading Friday. Amex raised its full-year revenue growth forecast from a range of 9% to 10% to 10%.

Context & Analysis

American Express is experiencing a structural shift in its customer base: Gen Z is no longer a niche segment but has become the company's primary growth engine. The 40% year-over-year spending growth among Gen Z, compared to single-digit growth in older cohorts, reflects both new account acquisition (65% of new global consumer accounts came from millennials and Gen Z) and increased engagement. CEO Stephen Squeri emphasized that engagement—not just customer count—is driving the spending surge, citing Resy restaurant spend growing at double the overall 10% restaurant-spending increase.

This demographic transition is pushing Amex to restructure its business model around dining as a strategic category. Rather than treating restaurants as one payment category among many, the company is building a proprietary ecosystem through Resy, Tock, and the proposed TheFork acquisition. By connecting reservations, benefits, and payments, Amex is creating what Squeri called "smaller closed loops inside its larger payments network"—a strategy that serves both acquisition (offering cardholders special access and benefits) and data collection. For young customers entering with low income but high growth potential, dining engagement is a lever to deepen the relationship over time.

The company's investment in agentic commerce infrastructure signals that Amex sees AI-driven purchasing as more than a distant possibility. Squeri cautioned that the space is still in "preseason," not even "early innings," yet Amex is already spending on initiatives to support it. The closed-loop data advantage—knowing both customer intent and merchant delivery—positions Amex to address fraud and hallucination risks that open-loop payment networks (like Visa or Mastercard) cannot easily solve, potentially creating a defensible moat as agentic commerce matures.

FAQ

How much faster is Gen Z spending growing compared to other generations?
Gen Z spending rose 40% year-over-year, compared with 14% for millennials, 10% for Generation X, and 5% for baby boomers and older customers.
What is Amex acquiring through TheFork?
Amex's proposed acquisition of TheFork would add 50,000 restaurants across 11 European countries to its dining portfolio, which already includes Resy and Tock.
What data advantage does Amex claim for agentic commerce?
Amex says it has closed-loop information from both sides of a transaction: it knows what the customer wanted to do and also what the merchant delivered, giving it an edge on verifying customer intent, managing fraud, and supporting AI agents that make purchases.

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