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Google Traffic Up 3% Despite AI Rivals, BofA Says

Google Traffic Up 3% Despite AI Rivals, BofA Says

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Google's global daily visits rose 3% year over year to 2.8 billion in August, per Bank of America, citing Similarweb data. ChatGPT visits fell 5% to 181 million, while Gemini jumped 261%.

  2. Why it matters

    The data shows AI chatbots are growing fast but not yet denting Google's core search business. Google's mobile daily active users reached 2.3 billion, up 12%, far ahead of ChatGPT's 469 million.

  3. What to watch

    Bank of America expects investor focus to shift to how quickly ChatGPT's advertising business develops. Watch for updates on ChatGPT's ad rollout and its impact on Google's market share.

WHO IT HITSInvestors and analysts tracking Google's competitive position against AI chatbots will find reassurance that search remains resilient, but they should monitor ChatGPT's ad business for future threats.

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Context & Analysis

Bank of America's data, drawn from Similarweb, offers a snapshot of how AI chatbots are faring against Google's search dominance. Despite the hype around AI, Google's core search traffic remains stable, even growing slightly. This suggests that users still rely on Google for many queries, while chatbots like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude carve out their own niches, often for tasks like generating text or answering complex questions.

The contrast is stark: while ChatGPT's web visits fell, Google's Gemini and Anthropic's Claude saw explosive growth in traffic, though from a much smaller base. This pattern—AI services growing rapidly but from a low starting point—indicates that AI adoption is expanding but has not yet threatened Google's scale. The numbers for mobile daily active users further underscore this, with Google far ahead at 2.3 billion users.

Looking ahead, Bank of America's focus on ChatGPT's advertising business is telling. If ChatGPT can monetize its user base effectively, it could pose a more serious challenge to Google's ad revenue. However, the current data suggests that the threat remains more potential than real, and investors may watch for signs of ad revenue growth at ChatGPT as a key indicator of future competitive dynamics.

FAQ
How much did Google's web traffic grow in August?
Google's global daily visits increased 3% year over year to 2.8 billion, according to Bank of America, citing Similarweb data.
What was ChatGPT's mobile user growth?
ChatGPT's daily active users on mobile grew 37% to 469 million, while its web visits dropped 5%.
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