AIToday
Large Language ModelsZenn AI/MLPublished: Oct 3, 2026, 10:00 JST

AI prompt: 0.01円 — 17 billion yen a year, water is bottleneck

AI prompt: 0.01円 — 17 billion yen a year, water is bottleneck

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    The author calculates one AI prompt costs about 0.01 yen in electricity — ChatGPT at 0.34 Wh and Gemini at 0.24 Wh, per company disclosures, at 1kWh=31 yen — and estimates all AI together at roughly 17 billion yen a year.

  2. Why it matters

    At roughly 0.01 yen per prompt, the per-use electricity cost looks negligible for an individual, so the cost picture shifts to scale and to constraints other than price.

  3. What to watch

    The 17 billion yen figure is the author's own estimate, since no organization publishes an official combined total; watch whether actual per-prompt consumption holds up as agent-style use becomes more common.

WHO IT HITSThis briefs readers tracking AI's real cost structure — energy analysts, data-center operators planning power and cooling, and finance teams modeling AI operating expenses — by putting a concrete per-prompt figure on a cost that is usually left unquantified.

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FAQ
How does ChatGPT's per-prompt energy compare with Gemini's?
ChatGPT is listed at 0.34 Wh and Gemini at 0.24 Wh, both per company disclosures. The author prices them at 1kWh=31 yen.
What happens to AI energy use by 2030?
The IEA projects global data-center power consumption will rise from 415 TWh in 2024 to 945 TWh in 2030, roughly equal to Japan's annual consumption.
Is electricity the main constraint on AI growth?
The author says no: the bottleneck is not power but four other constraints, one of which is water. By 2030, new data-center water needs are said to equal New York City's daily use.

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