Researchers survey experts on AI's economic effects through 2030, finding higher-ranking jobs expected to grow while white-collar job forecasts remain uncertain.

This spring, academic and think tank researchers surveyed dozens of economists, AI experts, and superforecasters about AI's effects on the economy between now and 2030, including scenarios where AI could write a 'Pulitzer-caliber' book and negotiate publishing rights.

In the survey, most experts predicted that higher-ranking occupations—CEO, administrative manager, senior official, legislator—would continue to grow even under a 'rapid' AI scenario, but for most other white-collar workers the forecast was unclear.

Researchers agree AI is affecting the economy in ways that are very complex, though real numbers are difficult to obtain.