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Sign up free →Study uses 'same-prompt bifurcation' technique on Qwen2.5-1.5B model to observe how identical inputs spontaneously diverge into factual or hallucinated outputs
44.3% of test prompts (27 out of 61) showed hallucinations diverging from correct answers as early as the first generated token
Activation patching experiments reveal strong asymmetry: injecting hallucinated activations corrupts correct outputs 87.5% of the time, but reversing this only recovers correct outputs 33.3% of the time
Findings suggest hallucinations result from irreversible early trajectory commitments rather than random errors, requiring sustained multi-step intervention to correct
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