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AI Safety & AlignmentLessWrong AIPublished: Sep 11, 2026, 06:00 JST

800 AI researchers' doom-vs-utopia bets called a wild error

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800 AI researchers' doom-vs-utopia bets called a wild error

The article argues that treating AI's possible doom and possible utopia as a trade-off to be weighed is a serious mistake. It cites a 2023 survey of 800 AI researchers whose expectations put serious probability on both outcomes.

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