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Anthropic buys $3.4 billion of Caterpillar gas turbines

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Anthropic buys $3.4 billion of Caterpillar gas turbines

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Anthropic is spending $3.4 billion on Caterpillar natural gas turbines that supplier OnePWR had originally ordered, per a Financial Times report. The generators can produce up to 1.7 gigawatts of electricity.

  2. Why it matters

    The purchase looks like a last resort as power market uncertainty may have forced its hand.

WHO IT HITSThis affects AI companies that need large-scale power for data centers, as well as equipment suppliers like Caterpillar and intermediary firms like OnePWR. It may also matter to investors ahead of Anthropic's planned IPO this year, given the shift from renting to owning power infrastructure.

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Context & Analysis

Anthropic's move stands out because the company has generally avoided buying physical infrastructure. Its S-1 filing in May disclosed a preference for renting: it is paying SpaceX subsidiary xAI $1.25 billion per month through May 2029 to use xAI's computing power, and it stated it expects to enter into additional similar services contracts. The turbine purchase therefore represents a departure from that pattern.

The deal's structure also hints at how tight the power market has become. OnePWR ordered the turbines a couple years ago but couldn't find financing to complete the purchase. Anthropic had planned to buy them from OnePWR but instead went directly to Caterpillar, the manufacturer. It's not clear why OnePWR was unable to secure financing despite Anthropic's apparent interest as a customer, but Anthropic likely wanted to keep the generating capacity to itself rather than give a competitor an opportunity to snap it up.

Anthropic is not alone in turning to natural gas. Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta have all announced plans to build massive natural gas power plants to power their data centers on site, rather than drawing from the public grid. That buildout could have broader consequences: if it proceeds as planned, U.S. data centers alone could consume more natural gas than Germany and Japan combined by 2035. The reliance on natural gas also exposes hyperscalers to price fluctuations — one analyst expects that prices could more than triple by the end of the decade in some markets — which could leave Anthropic with a serious case of buyer's remorse.

FAQ
Why is Anthropic buying natural gas turbines instead of renting power?
The backlog for natural gas turbines stretches into the early 2030s, and queues to connect to the electrical grid can be just as long. The purchase looks like a last resort as power market uncertainty may have forced Anthropic's hand.
Who originally ordered the turbines?
Equipment supplier OnePWR ordered the turbines a couple years ago but couldn't find financing. Anthropic had planned to buy them from OnePWR but instead went directly to Caterpillar, the manufacturer.
How does this fit with Anthropic's existing computing arrangements?
Anthropic has historically preferred to rent rather than buy. Its S-1 filing in May disclosed it is paying SpaceX subsidiary xAI $1.25 billion per month through May 2029 for computing power, and it expects to enter into additional similar services contracts.
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