Daniel and Eli's automated coder (AC) milestone forecast moved from late 2029 to mid 2028, reflecting faster-than-expected AI progress
New model evaluations including Gemini 3, GPT-5.2, and Claude Opus 4.6 contributed to the shortened timeline projections
Researchers updated to METR Time Horizon version 1.1 and revised estimates show faster present doubling time for AI capabilities
The AC milestone represents the point where AI companies would eliminate all human software engineers in favor of AI-based development
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