
What happened
Elon Musk proposed that the countries' top firms could evaluate one another's models before release, and OpenAI's CEO said Xi and Trump could win the Nobel Peace Prize for a one-page AI deal.
Why it matters
A sweeping AI deal at next week's Trump–Xi meeting appears unlikely. Beijing's former US envoy cited a lack of mutual trust, and a China scholar said Beijing is unlikely to take American calls for restraint seriously.
What to watch
Whether Washington regulates its own tech first, since a China scholar tied Beijing's seriousness about restraint calls to that. Watch the Trump–Xi meeting next week.
WHO IT HITSUS and Chinese AI lab leaders and policymakers pushing for cooperation will face the trust gap and the regulatory precondition named by Beijing's former US envoy and the China scholar.
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Ahead of next week's meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, some tech leaders have called for the two countries to cooperate on AI. Elon Musk proposed that top firms from each country could evaluate one another's models before release, while OpenAI's CEO suggested Xi and Trump could win the Nobel Peace Prize for a one-page AI deal.
The optimism faces a starkly different view from those who follow Beijing closely. Beijing's former US envoy said Tuesday that US-China ties are plagued by lack of mutual trust, and a China scholar argued that Beijing is "unlikely to take American calls for restraint seriously" before Washington regulates its own tech. The scholar said Beijing views such rhetoric as calculated to constrain China, and a DeepSeek engineer likened US "pacing" calls to Nazi Germany acquiring atomic weapons before the Allies.
Whether any meaningful AI agreement emerges from the meeting next week likely hinges on whether Washington first moves to regulate its own technology, the precondition the China scholar identified. For US and Chinese AI lab leaders who have called for cooperation, the gap between their proposals and Beijing's stated skepticism appears to be the central obstacle.
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