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Invesco AI ETF beats Anthropic IPO as buy-and-hold pick

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Invesco AI ETF beats Anthropic IPO as buy-and-hold pick

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Dave Kovaleski picked the Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF over Anthropic's IPO, citing the fund's 53% year-to-date gain and Anthropic's $693 million operating loss and $80 billion net loss from its Oct. 26 filing.

  2. Why it matters

    Kovaleski says the fund offers a diversified way to hold Anthropic and other AI stocks without the risk of an uncertain IPO.

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Context & Analysis

Anthropic's registration documents, filed Oct. 26, revealed a $693 million operating loss, an $80 billion net loss, and $518 billion in noncancellable debt over the next 10 years to build out data centers, alongside concentration risk from two clients accounting for 20% of revenue. Kovaleski points to Space Exploration Technologies' post-IPO flop as a reason investors may hesitate to chase the Anthropic listing, suggesting they wait before committing. Against that backdrop, he presents the Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF as a way to hold Anthropic alongside other AI names without single-IPO risk. The fund tracks the STOXX World AC NexGen Software Development Index, which caps individual positions at 8% and rebalances four times a year, and its 53% year-to-date gain ranks fourth among AI ETFs. Kovaleski notes that if Anthropic succeeds it is already in the fund, and if not, roughly 99 other holdings provide balance.

FAQ
What are the red flags in Anthropic's IPO filing?
Anthropic reported a $693 million operating loss, an $80 billion net loss, and $518 billion in noncancellable debt over the next 10 years. Two clients also account for 20% of revenue.
How is the Invesco AI ETF positioned by sector and geography?
About 50% is in semiconductor stocks, 17% in interactive media and services, 13% in technology hardware, and 7% in software. About 84% is in U.S. stocks, with 6% in Taiwan and 4% each in Japan and South Korea.
What are the ETF's largest holdings?
The three largest holdings are Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, and Meta, followed by Micron and Alphabet to round out the top five.
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