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Microsoft's AI business has an annual run rate of $37 billion(約5.9兆円) and grew 123% in its most recent quarter, yet the stock has declined more than 20% in 2026. Meta's revenue grew 33% in its latest quarter while the company invests heavily in AI capabilities. Nvidia is estimated to grow 41% next year, according to Wall Street.
Why it matters
All three companies are trading at forward price-to-earnings ratios below or only marginally above the S&P 500's 21.5 times forward earnings—Microsoft at 20.4 times, Meta at a lower multiple, and Nvidia at 23 times—despite generating growth rates well above the broader market average. This gap between valuations and performance suggests the market may be underpricing their potential.
What to watch
For Microsoft and Nvidia, fiscal 2027 earnings projections offer the clearest valuation picture, and investors can expect upside if the companies deliver on Wall Street's growth forecasts. For Meta, news of a successful AI product could trigger a significant stock price increase, even without confirmation of a strong return on its AI spending.
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