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Nvidia shares up 7% as guidance hits 70% growth

Nvidia shares up 7% as guidance hits 70% growth

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Nvidia reported earnings and guidance that smashed expectations, with shares up about 7%.

  2. Why it matters

    Nvidia guided for 70% revenue growth next year, surpassing Wall Street's 45% forecast, despite supply constraints.

  3. What to watch

    Watch if Nvidia can maintain gross margins amid higher memory costs, as it trades at 25 times forward earnings.

WHO IT HITSInvestors in AI and tech stocks, as well as companies like CrowdStrike, HP, and Garmin that face margin or demand impacts from Nvidia's guidance.

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Context & Analysis

The podcast episode highlights Nvidia's stellar earnings, which exceeded expectations and led to a 7% rise in shares. The company's guidance of 70% revenue growth for the coming year is notably higher than analyst forecasts of 45%, and this is attributed to strong demand despite supply constraints. This has a ripple effect on the AI infrastructure ecosystem, with companies like Credo Technologies and Onto Innovation positioned as potential winners due to increased spending on GPUs and memory, while others like HP and Garmin may face margin pressures from rising memory costs.

The discussion also covers CrowdStrike's impressive quarter, with revenue growth accelerating and net new ARR hitting a record. The company's CEO pointed to AI driving a divide in cybersecurity, with CrowdStrike benefiting from the Mythos incident. However, concerns about valuation remain, as the stock trades at 37 times sales, leading to mixed opinions on whether it's a buy or if alternatives like Rubrik or Zscaler are better options.

The mailbag segment addresses local AI's threat to cloud AI, with the panel concluding that local AI for personal and institutional use will grow, but cloud AI still has a place for innovation and complex tasks. Overall, the episode underscores that AI spending is robust, benefiting both Nvidia and its partners, while raising questions about sustainability and valuation in the broader market.

FAQ
How much did Nvidia's revenue grow?
Nvidia reported 106% revenue growth year over year.
What is Nvidia's guidance for next year?
Nvidia expects 70% revenue growth next year, which is higher than Wall Street's 45% estimate.
What did CrowdStrike report?
CrowdStrike had a blowout quarter with revenue up 26% and net new ARR up 51%.
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