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AI Stocks & MarketsAI Business & IndustryZenn AI/MLPublished: Oct 27, 2026, 01:00 JST

Apollo's Torsten Slok: zero AI payoff outside tech

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Apollo's Torsten Slok: zero AI payoff outside tech

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok wrote that AI returns are "zero" outside IT, with Mag 7 revenue per employee and margins rising while the S&P 493 stays flat with no visible productivity gain.

  2. Why it matters

    Ordinary firms now treat AI fees as a cost that dents profit rather than growth investment, and don't want to pay for the newest models — a warning for vendors, though it is one economist's view.

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Context & Analysis

The argument lands in a specific place: the split between the biggest US tech companies and everyone else. Slok's note contrasts the Mag 7 — whose revenue per employee and margins are both climbing — with the remaining S&P 493, where he sees neither improvement nor a sign of productivity gains. That gap is what turns a macro observation into a purchasing question, because the same note says ordinary companies have started to book AI usage fees as a cost that cuts into profit rather than as investment for growth.

The reaction gives a sense of how sensitive the topic is. The post drew 608 points and 645 comments on Hacker News and was picked up by TechCrunch, yet the piece frames it as one economist's reading rather than settled evidence. Read alongside the day's other items, the practical thread is that assembling cheaper models or changing how work is divided may matter more than signing up for the most expensive option.

FAQ
Who made this claim about AI's payoff?
Torsten Slok, chief economist at the investment firm Apollo, who wrote that the financial return on AI outside the IT industry is "zero."
What evidence does the argument rest on?
The Mag 7's revenue per employee and profit margins are rising, while the other S&P 493 companies stay flat, with no sign of productivity gains yet.
Has this been widely discussed?
Yes — the post drew 608 points and 645 comments on Hacker News, and TechCrunch also covered it.
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