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New MemGuard-Alpha framework detects and filters out memorized data in LLM-based financial predictions, achieving 18.57x better contamination detection than existing methods.

arXiv cs.LGMar 31, 20261 min read
New MemGuard-Alpha framework detects and filters out memorized data in LLM-based financial predictions, achieving 18.57x better contamination detection than existing methods.

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3 Key Points

  1. LLMs memorize historical financial data from training sets, creating fake predictive accuracy that fails when tested on new data, undermining quantitative trading strategies

  2. MemGuard-Alpha uses two algorithms: a Composite Score (MCS) combining five membership inference attack methods with temporal features, and Cross-Model Disagreement detection

  3. The MCS achieves Cohen's d = 18.57 for separating contaminated signals versus d = 0.39-1.37 using membership inference features alone

  4. Unlike expensive retraining or information-loss-inducing anonymization, MemGuard-Alpha offers zero-cost, real-time signal filtering for practical trading applications

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