
Uncertainty estimation (UE) metrics in LLMs often fail to reliably detect hallucinations due to 'proxy failure'—they measure model behavior rather than actual factual accuracy
UE metrics become unreliable in low-information scenarios where they struggle to discriminate between correct and incorrect outputs
Truth AnChoring (TAC) is a post-hoc calibration method that remaps raw uncertainty scores to truth-aligned scores, improving reliability even with limited training data
The approach enables better-calibrated uncertainty estimates and provides a practical calibration protocol for improving LLM reliability
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