
What happened
Democrat Gina Hinojosa, who wants an immediate moratorium on data centers in Texas, beat Republican Gov. Greg Abbott. Wells Fargo estimates 27% of planned U.S. data center gigawatts are in Texas, and analysts called the result a major blow to the AI trade.
Why it matters
That concentration means a single state election can slow the pace of U.S. data center buildouts, and the result adds pressure on a trade already weakened as the Nasdaq-100 fell into correction territory to end October.
Summaries like this, every morning.
The Texas outcome did not arrive in isolation. The Nasdaq-100 index had already fallen into correction territory to end October as concerns mounted that data center spending by big hyperscalers and private AI companies OpenAI and Anthropic was slowing. Wells Fargo's chief equity strategist, Ohsung Kwon, had warned in a report this week that the equity market reaction from the midterms mostly depended on the Texas governor's race, calling a Democratic win a potential left-tail event for the AI trade. Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warned earlier this year that Democrats winning the Senate combined with taking the Texas governorship could lead to a big slump in stocks of more than 10% into year-end. The result also landed personally for Elon Musk, who spent a record of at least $474 million on the midterms and $224 million in Texas, where Tesla and SpaceX are based. His response on X — "Data centers in space looking pretty appealing right now" — pointed to his speculative plans to build AI infrastructure off-planet, a sign that at least one major builder is already looking beyond state politics.
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