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AI assistants reshape back-to-school shopping, previewing holiday shift

AI assistants reshape back-to-school shopping, previewing holiday shift

Key takeaway

  • AI is becoming a new gatekeeper in shopping. A majority of parents plan to use AI tools for back-to-school.

  • Walmart's ad business is growing fast.

  • The holidays will test this shift.

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Walmart reported a 5.9% increase in revenue in its fiscal second quarter, with global e-commerce sales up 23% and global ad revenue up 38%. Its U.S. retail media business, Walmart Connect, grew 43%, excluding Vizio.

  2. Why it matters

    A majority of parents (68%) expect to use AI tools like ChatGPT and Gemini for back-to-school shopping this year, according to Tinuiti. This places AI closer to the transaction, potentially narrowing the consideration set before shoppers reach retailers.

  3. What to watch

    Tinuiti's research shows 48% of U.S. adults trust AI to recommend products, with ChatGPT the most widely used generative AI platform at 52%, followed by Gemini at 45%. Marketers are advised to optimize product detail pages for AI-powered shopping assistants.

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Context & Analysis

Back-to-school season is serving as an early indicator of how AI may reshape consumer shopping behavior ahead of the holidays. Walmart's earnings show the growing importance of retail media, with its ad business growing significantly faster than overall revenue. The company is positioning itself to own not just where consumers buy, but where they discover products.

Tinuiti's data reveals a notable shift: AI tools are moving from experimentation to practical use in the shopping journey. The finding that 48% of U.S. adults trust AI to recommend products suggests these tools are becoming credible sources of purchase advice. This creates a new influence point before consumers reach traditional retailer ecosystems like Walmart or Amazon.

The shopping journey is already fragmented across social media, stores, and online platforms. AI adds another layer, potentially restructuring how consumers narrow their choices. While retailers still own the checkout, the consideration process may increasingly happen elsewhere. Price remains the dominant factor, but the path to finding the best price is changing. The holiday season will test whether these trends hold at larger scale.

FAQ

How many parents plan to use AI for back-to-school shopping?
Only 32% of parents told Tinuiti they don't plan to use an AI tool for back-to-school shopping this year, meaning a majority expect to use platforms like ChatGPT and Gemini.
What are the leading sources of back-to-school product discovery?
Social media and in-store displays tied as the leading sources, each cited by 43% of parents in Tinuiti's study.
What remains the top consideration for back-to-school purchases?
Price remains paramount, with 65% of parents ranking price among their three biggest considerations and 57% citing sales and discounts.
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