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Large Language ModelsAI Coding AssistantsQiita 機械学習Published: Oct 10, 2026, 10:00 JST

ALPHA FORGE adds sandbox that skips the prediction_ledger

ALPHA FORGE adds sandbox that skips the prediction_ledger

ALPHA FORGE's new sandbox.py calls the same inference orchestrator as the daily batch but never calls the ledger's insert function, so traces are saved only for on-screen display. The first live run rejected a large-cap stock at 38% confidence, just 2 points below the 40% threshold.

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Context & Analysis

The root of the problem was structural: ALPHA FORGE records every prediction in a prediction ledger, and that ledger feeds both continuous learning and the displayed real-world win rate. Any casual trial of a stock through the normal path would mix subjective, biased samples into the same pool as the strict morning selection process. The developer had Claude Code audit the code first, which revealed that the inference orchestrator only returns results and that the daily batch is the sole writer to the ledger. That separation is what made a clean sandbox possible without duplicating the scoring logic.

The second guard came from a setting that had been sitting unused: a $5 daily LLM budget defined in the config file but never referenced. The sandbox run checks usage against it and raises an error once the cap is reached. The developer also kept a rule that any run incurring API charges must pause for human confirmation immediately before execution, so approving a design never amounts to a blank check on spending.

On the first real run, a large-cap stock came back rejected at 38% confidence, just under the 40% threshold. The developer noted that only the normal "adopt" path had been seen in the test environment, so the rejection flow reaching the screen intact was itself useful. The ledger's 76 entries were unchanged, with six trace rows added separately.

FAQ
How does the sandbox avoid polluting production data?
It uses a new entry point, sandbox.py, that calls the inference orchestrator but never invokes the ledger's insert function. Traces are stored only in a separate table for on-screen display.
How much did the daily LLM budget limit cost usage?
A dormant setting of a $5 daily LLM spending cap was activated as a guard that checks usage before each sandbox run. It had existed in the config file but was never referenced until then.
What did the first live test show?
A large-cap stock was rejected at 38% confidence, 2 points short of the 40% adoption threshold. The developer confirmed the prediction ledger stayed at exactly 76 entries before and after.
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