
What happened
Alphabet reported net income of $112.1 billion(約18兆円) in Q2, a 298% year-over-year increase, with $99 billion(約16兆円) coming from unrealized and realized gains on equity investments—primarily Anthropic and SpaceX. SpaceX went public in early June at a $1.77 trillion(約280兆円) valuation (up from $400 billion(約64兆円) a year prior), while Anthropic's private valuation jumped from $350 billion(約56兆円) to $965 billion(約150兆円) in the same period.
Why it matters
The $99 billion(約16兆円) in investment gains accounted for $77.1 billion(約12兆円) of Alphabet's after-tax net income and $6.26 of its $9.11 earnings per share, meaning most of the record profit is not from core business operations like search advertising and YouTube. The structure creates a potential circularity: Alphabet invests in Anthropic, Anthropic pays Google Cloud for computing (driving the 82% Cloud growth), Anthropic's valuation rises, and Google books that rise as earnings—allowing the same dollars to cycle through and inflate reported profits.
What to watch
Alphabet stock fell 3% in after-hours trading despite the record results, as investors focused on rising capital expenditures (planned 2026 spending raised to a range of $195 billion(約31兆円) to $205 billion(約33兆円), from $180 billion(約29兆円) to $190 billion(約30兆円)) and competition to Gemini AI models. Anthropic has committed to purchasing at least five gigawatts of computing capacity from Google Cloud as part of Alphabet's $13.3 billion(約2.1兆円) investment, with commitments of up to $30 billion(約4.8兆円) more.
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Alphabet's record $112.1 billion(約18兆円) quarterly profit is historically unprecedented, but the composition reveals a tension between headline-grabbing accounting and underlying business reality. The company's revenue growth—24% overall and 82% for Google Cloud—is genuinely impressive and CEO Sundar Pichai framed it as validation of the company's "full stack approach to AI." Yet nearly 90% of the record net income stems not from these operations but from paper gains on Anthropic and SpaceX valuations, which soared in Q2 following SpaceX's June public offering at $1.77 trillion(約280兆円) (up from $400 billion(約64兆円)) and Anthropic's private-market jump from $350 billion(約56兆円) to $965 billion(約150兆円).
The structure underlying these gains creates what tax and accounting consultant Robert Willens has called a potential circularity: Alphabet deploys capital into Anthropic; Anthropic turns around and spends billions of its raised capital on Google Cloud computing, inflating the Cloud segment's growth metrics; Anthropic's valuation climbs as a result; and Alphabet books the unrealized gains as earnings. In this loop, the same dollars flow through multiple stages of Alphabet's business and investment portfolio, allowing the company to report record profits while the actual cash flow and independent revenue generation tell a narrower story. The market appeared skeptical of this arrangement: despite the earnings records, shares fell 3% after-hours as investors focused on sharply rising capital expenditure plans ($195–$205 billion(約33兆円) for 2026, up from $180–$190 billion(約30兆円)) and mounting competition in AI models.
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