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Claude models show near-perfect link between raw capability and decision-theory preference

Claude models show near-perfect link between raw capability and decision-theory preference

Researchers found that for Anthropic's Claude models, capability (measured by DTBench or TextArena benchmarks) correlates almost perfectly with a preference against CDT (Causal Decision Theory) answers — with correlation coefficients of r=0.97 and r=0.95 respectively. For Claude flagship models, this correlation is essentially identical to the correlation with release date (r=0.97).

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