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Kazakhstan joins both US and China AI blocs within weeks

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Kazakhstan joins both US and China AI blocs within weeks

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Kazakhstan joined both camps — its AI minister Zhaslan Madiyev visited Washington in June, then Shanghai three weeks later to become a founding member of China's World AI Cooperation Organization, alongside 28 others including Pakistan and Russia.

  2. Why it matters

    A former Kazakh diplomat said 'Everyone is hedging' and 'We don't want this binary choice,' suggesting middle powers see advantages on both sides rather than picking one.

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Context & Analysis

As the U.S. and China form their own AI blocs, the window for countries to choose freely may be narrowing. Kazakhstan's case shows a middle path: it joined Pax Silica for technological partnerships and supply-chain access, while joining China's initiative for a voice in setting standards. Other countries are following similar strategies. Indonesia, which has nickel and copper resources, joined China's organization and its National Economic Council vice chair said it should be part of both. Singapore is considering China's group while hosting Anthropic's latest Asia office. Saudi Arabia's Humain built a platform on a Chinese open model even as the kingdom has an Nvidia deal. France is pursuing its own path with Mistral, and Japan is aligned with the U.S. on strategic issues but will not reject Chinese models for lower-risk applications, according to a professor. The U.S. State Department signaled that substantive engagement with a competing vision conflicts with Pax Silica membership, suggesting the hedging space may shrink. China has provided official sector grants and loans for AI-related projects in at least 77 low- and middle-income countries, and Pew Research Center study results show people in middle-income countries becoming more positive and trusting of China on AI regulation.

FAQ
What is Pax Silica?
Pax Silica is the U.S.-led AI group that Kazakhstan's AI minister joined in Washington. The U.S. State Department said countries cannot be trusted partners in Pax Silica while substantively engaging in initiatives that advance a competing vision for super intelligence.
Which other countries are balancing between the U.S. and China on AI?
Indonesia joined China's World AI Cooperation Organization and wants to benefit from both systems. Singapore is considering joining China's AI organization while Anthropic sets up its latest Asia office there. Saudi Arabia's Humain unveiled a platform built on a Chinese AI company's open model while the kingdom has a deal with Nvidia.
How does Kazakhstan benefit from both sides?
Kazakhstan signed an investment deal worth up to $10 billion involving Nvidia to build a 'data center valley,' and Chinese foreign direct investment in Kazakhstan reached a record $2.8 billion in 2025.
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